The mistake starts here: "Since Iran certainly won't listen to Trump..."
••
1Semana
@fund_navigator_elshq I don't quite understand the statement! Why should Iran comply with any of Trump's demands?
•
22
•
1Semana
@BavarianLion Because nothing can get in through the Strait of Hormuz if it is closed. And Iran, like the entire region, cannot supply itself. If the energy infrastructure is also in the bag, who has the longer leverage? At some point, people will finally get on top of you.
••
1Semana
@Daniel1212 The people have been trying to "get on top" of the regime for years! They are being bludgeoned as usual! We are dealing here with religious fanatics who now see their chance to destroy the "West"! They want the war to escalate, or why are they shooting at their neighboring countries?
•
22
•1Semana
Every week we speculate here about what will happen next. I'm sticking to my guns. At some point, the trigger will no longer be pulled. The regime won't shoot itself.
•
22
•1Semana
@Daniel1212 This war will certainly end sooner or later! I also think that far too many private investors are currently concentrating on the war and oil prices! When the war is over, the real reason why the stock market will plummet in the next few years will come to light! The catastrophic economic situation in the USA! If you take a closer look at the data and, above all, see the liquidity outflows... then everyone should know what's coming! 🤯
•
44
•1Semana
@BavarianLion why don't you sell everything when extreme crashes come in the next few years? 🤔
••
1Semana
@equity_expert_1695 Why should I sell my main portfolio? This is buy & hold for 30 years! But it might get even worse than I thought! I expect a crash and then a bear market for about 10 years! Drawdown certainly 50% possibly even more! Anyone who understands anything about economics should see that!
•
11
•1Semana
@BavarianLion With a drawdown of over 50%, you can sell and pay taxes without any worries? You don't even have to buy back at the low point to make a significant profit 🤔
•
11
•1Semana
@equity_expert_1695 Yes, but then I would have the money in my account and at my disposal! Then the risk of spending it is greater! So I'd rather leave it in the portfolio, maybe collect a few dividends and in about 5 years when the low point is reached you can start buying more! In about 10 years the stock market should normalize again!
••
1Semana
@BavarianLion You just said that the bear market will last 10 years, so why should you buy after 5 years? And you can transfer the money to an overnight money account if you're afraid to spend it 😂
••