Adjusted Net Income: $193M-$196M (Prev. $205M-$208M) ❌
Adjusted EPS: $3.27-$3.32 (Prev. $3.47-$3.53) ❌
Adjusted Effective Tax Rate: 19-20% (No Change) ❌
Other Key Metrics:
Gross Margin: 71% (Est. 71.15%) ; UP +40 bps YoY
SG&A Expenses: $218.2M (Est. $175.43M) ; UP +36.3% YoY
Adjusted SG&A: $192.9M (54% of net sales)
Net Income: $17.3M (Est. $44M)
Adjusted Net Income: $43M
Adjusted EPS: $0.74
Adjusted EBITDA: $68.7M (Est. $72.57M) ; UP +16% YoY
Comment from the CEO and CFO:
CEO Tarang Amin: "We continue to gain market share, with net revenue growth of 31% and market share gains of 220 basis points in the US. We see significant new territory opportunities in digital, color cosmetics, skincare and international markets."
CFO Mandy Fields: "Given the weaker than expected trends in January, we are taking a cautious approach and lowering our outlook for the 2025 financial year."
ELF Beauty's price drop and oversold RSI might appear attractive, but several concerns warrant caution. The missed revenue target raises questions about the company's performance and future prospects. The strongly negative volume flow suggests continued selling pressure. While the RSI is low, it's not a reliable indicator on its own; oversold conditions can persist. Furthermore, there's no clear sign of a trend reversal. Before considering a buy, investigate the reasons behind the missed revenue, assess the competitive landscape, and consider the overall market context. Don't be lured by a low price without thorough due diligence.
