1Semanaยท

๐Š๐ข๐จ๐ฑ๐ข๐š: ๐๐Ÿ ๐‘๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ง๐ฎ๐ž ๐š๐ง๐ ๐Ž๐ฉ๐ž๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐๐ซ๐จ๐Ÿ๐ข๐ญ ๐๐ž๐š๐ญ ๐„๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐ฆ๐š๐ญ๐ž๐ฌ, ๐๐ฎ๐ญ ๐๐Ÿ‘ ๐†๐ฎ๐ข๐๐š๐ง๐œ๐ž ๐…๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ

$285A (+5,59ย %)

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๐Ÿ“Š ๐‘๐ž๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ญ๐ฌ

โ€ข Revenue: $15.77B (Est. $15.61B) โœ…, +453% YoY.

โ€ข Operating Profit: $12.68B (Est. $12.40B) โœ….

โ€ข Net Profit: $8.62B (Est. $8.62B) ๐ŸŸฐ, +3,234% YoY.

โ€ข EPS: $5.33 (Est. $5.48) โŒ, +3,237% YoY.

โ€ข Operating Margin: 80%, +8.6 pp QoQ.

โ€ข QoQ: Revenue +40%, Operating Profit +57%.

โ€ข H1 Operating Cash Flow: $15.13B.

โ€ข Cash: $8.89B.

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๐ŸŽฏ ๐†๐ฎ๐ข๐๐š๐ง๐œ๐ž

โ€ข Q3 Revenue: $15.9B (Est. $18.6B) โŒ.

โ€ข Q3 Operating Profit: $12.7B (Est. $14.9B) โŒ.

โ€ข Q3 Net Profit: $8.6B (Est. $10.2B) โŒ.

โ€ข Q3 EPS: $5.41 (Est. $6.65) โŒ.

โ€ข Q3 revenue expected to remain near Q2 levels despite strong data center demand, with yen appreciation weighing on results.

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๐Ÿ“Œ ๐Š๐ž๐ฒ ๐“๐š๐ค๐ž๐š๐ฐ๐š๐ฒ๐ฌ

โ€ข Q2 revenue beat consensus by ~1.0%, while EPS missed by ~2.7%.

โ€ข Q3 revenue guidance stands ~14.5% below consensus, with EPS ~18.6% lower.

โ€ข SSD & Storage revenue increased 38% QoQ to $10.28B, supported by AI data center demand.

โ€ข Smart Devices revenue surged 50% QoQ to $5.02B.

โ€ข Higher NAND selling prices and increased bit shipments drove record profitability.

โ€ข Management expects strong data center demand to continue.

โ€ข Announced its first dividend since listing at ยฅ90 per share, payable December 8.

โ€ข Introduced a shareholder return policy targeting 100% of surplus cash through dividends and buybacks.

โ€ข Completed $5.09B in share repurchases during H1.

โ€ข Implemented a 3-for-1 stock split effective October 1.

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๐Ÿ”Ž ๐Œ๐š๐ซ๐ค๐ž๐ญ ๐’๐ข๐ ๐ง๐ข๐Ÿ๐ข๐œ๐š๐ง๐œ๐ž

Exceptional NAND pricing and AI-driven storage demand are supporting record margins, but Q3 guidance materially below consensus highlights currency headwinds and near-term earnings uncertainty.

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18 Comentarios

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Ouch, but I'm still sticking with it for the long term ๐Ÿ‘
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Imagen de perfil
@Fl_ow I especially like the new shareholder return policy. I'm thinking about buying more shares.
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@Keineui Definitelyโ€”I just bought 10 of them๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿ˜Š
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Imagen de perfil
@Fl_ow I'll wait and see where the price settles once the U.S. markets open...
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Imagen de perfil
@Keineui That's a good ideaโ€”if the price drops even further, I'll probably buy some more.
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@Keineui I'd wait a bit to see where it stabilizes overall. I think 8,000 JPY would be a pretty good starting point. Let's see if we get that far.
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@jkb92 Wow, that would be brutal. But I always really enjoy your chart analyses. Thanks for that!
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@Keineui The stock is getting cheaper and cheaperโ€”where do we actually stand in terms of the P/E ratio?
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@Tenbagger-Capital What do you think of the outlook? Are you going to buy more?
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@fund_manager_2699 I'm still optimistic about the memory sector. Take a look at Samsung's numbersโ€”memory chips are what keep the whole show running there. But I already have too much exposure in that sector, so I'm just watching for now.
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@Tenbagger-Capital Kioxia keeps falling and falling with no end in sight ๐Ÿ˜ญ๐Ÿ˜ญ
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Ver todas las 5 respuestas adicionales
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The Democrats will immediately halt AI investments and send us back to the Stone Age.
Everyone will emigrate from the U.S. to South Korea and will only order from Coupang $CPNG. Itโ€™s not the companiesโ€™ fault. AMD posted strong numbers. Lisa Zu confirmed the forecasts and spoke of an increase in order volume.
Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta, etc., are sticking to their capital expenditures.
Before the election, the Democrats spoke out against data centers and promised strict regulations and hurdles. But we all know how it goes with campaign promisesโ€”and what actually gets followed through on in the end.
Of course, this means uncertainty for the market when it comes to AI.
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