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The End of a Billion-Dollar Deal: When Trump's Pressure Breaks Up the Oracle-Tencent Cartel

Headlines are coming thick and fast these days, keeping pace with the U.S.’s drastic geopolitical shift. Just shortly after the upheaval surrounding covert chip shipments, another massive news story broke on November 4, 2026, sending shockwaves through the tech sector: Cloud giant Oracle was forced to abruptly terminate a massive $7 billion lease agreement it had recently signed with Chinese tech giant Tencent.


The Scale of the Deal and Its Sudden End


The contract, which had been made public in October 2026 and was set to run for five years, was a major undertaking. It was one of the largest cross-border technology agreements in the field of artificial intelligence:


* Tencent was to gain access to an estimated 100,000 state-of-the-art AI chips via the Oracle Cloud to massively accelerate its own infrastructure and AI models.


* The value of the agreement was estimated at a whopping $7 billion.


For Oracle, this deal was intended to serve as a lucrative building block to gain ground in the fierce cloud infrastructure race against Amazon Web Services, Microsoft Azure, and Google Cloud. But they hadn’t counted on the White House.


A Political Barrage and Backing Down Under Pressure


No sooner had the details of the mega-deal leaked than reports from the Financial Times began circulating, and the wheels in Washington started turning. The Trump administration intervened heavily through national security committees and regulatory bodies. The concerns were serious: From the perspective of U.S. authorities, providing tens of thousands of high-performance AI accelerators to a Chinese internet giant posed incalculable risks regarding technology transfer and national security.


The pressure from the White House had an immediate effect. Faced with the looming political consequences and the U.S. government’s uncompromising stance—which had recently been reinforced by Trump’s unequivocal statements to CEOs of AI companies—Oracle pulled the emergency brake. On November 4, 2026, it was officially announced that the contract had been scrapped and the partnership buried.


A Reaction on the Stock Market and a Clear Signal


This U-turn immediately left its mark on the markets: Oracle’s stock came under pressure in pre-market trading as investors realized that commercially highly attractive growth stories in China can turn into a geopolitical farce in the blink of an eye under the current U.S. administration.


The case makes it unmistakably clear: The days when U.S. tech companies could lease cloud and chip capacities to Chinese players on a large scale are finally over. Anyone who pushes the envelope too far will immediately feel the full force of the administration’s response.


$ORCL (-2 %)
$700 (-1,9 %)

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8 Comentarios

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$ORCL To me, along with $CRWV, this is the most overvalued of the cloud/AI stocks. Plus, its debt is too high. I see it trading around €80 in the near future.
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@Keineui I completely agree with you. Those are the riskiest stocks right now.
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@Olli68 So, both are short? Asking for a friend. I don't really do such risky trades myself.
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@Multibagger You know more about that than I do. I stay away from shorts. I've always had bad experiences with them 😉
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@Multibagger It depends on the holding period. I think shorting Oracle for 6 months could work out well. Coreweave should also work out over a shorter period, but given the volatility, there’s a chance you could get knocked out before then.
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@Keineui You can also go short without a turbo. Put out-of-the-money, June 27 expiration, strike price 20–30% below the current price.
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@Multibagger I think either one could work. But if I had to choose, I'd go with Oracle.
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