4D·

What do you think of these Youtubers and how would you proceed?

I still don't have my one year hold duration, if you look around on YouTube or see the kind of videos, you naturally have your thoughts on should I sell, should I buy back in when it's on the ground but I personally find it very silly. Since November, I have converted a lot to Bitcoin. I'm still of the opinion that you should continue to hold on to Bitcoin. What do you think?

https://youtu.be/cS-r8CSnMyA?si=GX_BMyxPTK3i3YA8

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23 Comentarios

Stefan21@stefan_21

Hi :) Don't go crazy... especially with BTC, the whales are accumulating an incredible amount of BTC while small retail investors under 1 BTC tend to sell or take profits.
Companies alone have bought more than 3x as much BTC as has been mined since the beginning of the year. Supply continues to fall while demand continues to rise. More and more BTC treasury companies are being founded, e.g. Twenty One, Nakamoto or Strive, whose sole aim is to buy as much BTC as possible. Strategy is also buying like crazy week after week.
The US states are starting to build up strategic BTC reserves. And BTC interest on Google Trends remains absolutely low.

So what are you afraid of right now? That none of this matters and BTC will suddenly drop 70-80% again soon? I don't think so. I think we still have a lot of room for improvement. The current situation looks neither overbought nor overhyped to me. We are a long way from a typical "blow-off top". I'll only start to prick up my ears again when my grandma asks me if I still have this Bitcoin😂

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KoenigsRasse@KoenigsRasse

@stefan_21 Stefan, thank you for always building me up. I see it the same way. Maybe I should stop watching YouTube. They drive me minimally crazy. 🤣

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INVESTDALF@der_Ahnungslose

I agree with you Steffan. However, I would even secretly hope for a 70% crash to be able to buy some more. I bought my first sats at the end of 2023 when I started investing but it didn't really click in my head until the end of 24. I already have the feeling that I'll never get the chance to build up relevant stocks again with my measly salary 😅🥲

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Date von @Epi@DonkeyInvestor

14H

@stefan_21 My father-in-law has been asking about this Bitcoin at every meeting for months. Does that count? Should I be worried?

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Stefan21@stefan_21

13H

@der_Ahnungslose I can understand :) but I can tell you: the next bear market will come 100%. And that is exactly the phase in which you need to accumulate aggressively.
Don't make the mistake of thinking that you can't build up any more relevant holdings - every holding > 0 BTC is relevant. We are still early and the vast majority of people out there have 1. no idea about BTC and 2. no interest😅
Take a look at street polls about BTC on YouTube - e.g. from EinfachBitcoin or the Einundzwanzig channel. It's unbelievable how little people outside the bubble know about Bitcoin. Believe me, you'll feel better straight away😅😂

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Stefan21@stefan_21

13H

@DonkeyInvestor these are definitely the first warning signs🤔 keep me posted!!! 😂

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INVESTDALF@der_Ahnungslose

12H

@stefan_21 hmmm don't you think that the volatility will slowly decrease now if all the companies ala strategy accumulate so massively to hodl? Or what percentage decline do you expect in the next bear market?

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Stefan21@stefan_21

12H

@der_Ahnungslose I do think that the vola will gradually decrease in the future :)
I also no longer necessarily expect a 70 - 80% decline. There are already too many institutions and, slowly, countries in the game for that. Spontaneously, I would say I expect a decline of around 50%. Maybe even a little more or a little less. Depending on how high we go. If we shoot up to 350 in a completely exaggerated manner, I can of course imagine another 70% drop.

If we see the top at "only" 150 to 180k (currently my base case scenario), then I assume a maximum 50% decline :)

Below that, I would even assume less than 50% in the bear market.

But it definitely won't be the case that we now rise by 10-20% year after year without any major fluctuations - we're still a long way from that :D

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INVESTDALF@der_Ahnungslose

11H

@stefan_21 ok thanks for your assessment! I'll keep that in mind.
And I hope you're right. Being able to buy again for under 100 k would be nice in the next 1 to 2 years 😁

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Miro_89@Miro_89

Depends on your strategy and investment horizon. Me personally I am building a portfolio which I actually never plan to sell

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Alpalaka@Alpalaka

With a lead like that, Finfluencer must be serious.

ES KOMMT SCHNELL perhaps says @TotallyLost, but that's a different topic now

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Ph1l1pp@Ph1l1pp

Nothing, no crypto YouTuber makes money

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Thesaurus@Thesaurus

Bauernopfer

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Imperial_Trading_Company@Imperial_Trading_Company

The thumbnail looks serious. I'll explain WHY in a series of pictures in my WhatsApp group soon. Slide 17 will blow YOUR mind

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Sansebastian@Sansebastian

I can understand your concerns about the holding period, but I don't understand it. I'd rather take profits on which I pay tax before I go out at a loss.

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KoenigsRasse@KoenigsRasse

@Sansebastian I wouldn't go out, I would maybe push the buy in further down 🙌
But in the long term I'm definitely convinced it will go up a lot more

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MrSchnitzel2000@MrSchnitzel00

Nobody has a crystal ball🔮 and can see into the future;) don't believe every nonsense YouTuber says... do your own research and if it should go down again then always have cash on hand to buy more;)

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Joshua@WarrenNakamoto

I buy and hold for the long term

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Wif@salvo89ari

he is right to buy when everyone is afraid
and sell when everyone is greedy
but you have to know what to buy😁

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KoenigsRasse@KoenigsRasse

@salvo89ari Yes, I agree, but I have to say that I'm a long-term investor and if you don't have the one-year holding period and aren't sitting on a big flow, it's also questionable for me whether it makes sense. I am also prepared to wait for the next halving in an emergency.
I think I will rather buy at the bottom and improve the price. Instead of sorting something out now and thinking about it since November, I'll sort everything into Bitcoin that was in the black.

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Wif@salvo89ari

@KoenigsRasse come to switzerland you don't have the problem of holding it for a year😁 because of the taxes

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KoenigsRasse@KoenigsRasse

@salvo89ari 🥰

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Harald@Madhatter5566

In my opinion, it is absurd that Bitcoin in its current form will eventually become the "currency" and that you will somehow have to buy overpriced Bitcoins in order to obtain "everyday goods" at all. It is just as absurd that Bitcoin follows any template of other assets. Anyone who claims otherwise is simply using a poorly polished crystal ball.

In my opinion, you should admit to yourself that you don't know, Bitcoin as a pure speculative object with no actual value does what it wants and you can either try to guess correctly or you should keep your hands off it.

I have ruled out participating in the tulips. Period.

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