5D·

Don't reach into a falling knife ...

... but pick it up when it's lying on the ground! This saying was my inspiration to enter $CNQ (-2,6 %) yesterday with a small position. Small, because I am also "small" - in terms of capital, not spirit.


Why? $CNQ (-2,6 %) ? For me it was a mixture of investing in a stable stock (which also pays a small dividend) and which lowers my BETA in the portfolio, but also the current political situation around the Strait of Hormuz - remember? There was something about a ceasefire and Iran somehow not wanting to stick to it after all?


Personally, I see $CNQ (-2,6 %) in a good position either way, because: They will continue to produce oil and make money... if the Strait of Hormuz doesn't open (which it doesn't look like it will in my estimation), the price of oil will rise again and the value of $CNQ (-2,6 %) will presumably follow suit. If, as we all hope, there is peace in the box after all, the price of $CNQ (-2,6 %) will nevertheless continue and presumably continue its upward trajectory comfortably, almost with stoic composure; after all, if you look at the fundamentals, the value is certainly a little undervalued...


What do you think of these theories? Are they the figments of an idiot's imagination or perhaps ideas that have some merit?

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8 Comentarios

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Um, that's not like reaching into a falling knife
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@Alpalaka no, but it was a nice introductory sentence for my letter here :-) I know that if you look at the chart globally, there was a small dip yesterday, but it was due to precisely the issue of the ceasefire. Otherwise, nothing has changed in terms of the stability of the share.

I just like that kind of talk sometimes :-)
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-3%, ytd +36% clearly a falling knife
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@Therapeut As I wrote at @Alpalaka: I realize that this is "market noise" - I was aiming more at the strategic idea behind it.
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Dear @Saarmupfel, please don't be angry with me, but I can't follow your mind 🤷‍♂️
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@Wealth-Accelerator I'm afraid - but I'm used to it - that you're not alone in this... which doesn't necessarily mean that the problem is with you and the others, but rather that my thought processes are sometimes more complex than I can put down on paper.
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@Saarmupfel
With the introductory sentence, you attract people to your post who want to judge whether they agree with you or interpret the chart differently. But when they click on your asset, they are immediately disappointed because there is no falling knife. So all those, probably 80%, who clicked on the post because of the falling knife are immediately disappointed.
So it's better not to enter the market or choose a suitable one. 🤷‍♂️
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@Wealth-Accelerator ok, will take this to heart for the future....
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