1Año·

Depot review September 2023 - September presents itself as always as a spoilsport and delivers the 4th negative September in a row for my portfolio


September is
is statistically the worst stock market month and also in the September 2023 this statistic proves to be true again.

In September my portfolio with -2.7%, my portfolio had a clearly negative performance. In contrast to September 2022 with -6.0% but a less bad development.


In the current year, my performance is thus only +14,5%but still above my benchmark (MSCI World +12.9%).


Nevertheless, this beats losses in the amount of ~6.500€ in September. in September. The biggest loser in September was NVIDIA $NVDA (+5,72 %) with over €1,100. Also Sartorius $SRT (+2,02 %) and ASML $ASML (+1,63 %) with a negative development.

On the plus side, there is not much positive in September, the best performance was still Amgen $AMGN (+0,38 %) with almost +8% and ~400€ price gains.


In total, I bought again in September for ~€2,500. In addition, there was a premium refund of over € 2,000 from my private health insurance for the year 2022 (this will be followed soon by a separate article including my investment strategy in relation to the private health insurance).


In total, my deposit thus stands slightly below the previous month at ~224.000€. This corresponds to an absolute increase of ~45.000€. in the current year 2023. ~24.000€ come from price increases, ~1.950€ from dividends / interest and ~19.000€ from additional investments.

Nevertheless, there is a shortfall of almost 15,000€ in price gains to make up for the ~38,000€ in price losses from 2022.


Dividend:

  • The dividend comparison to the previous year is slightly more difficult this month, as Unilever paid out in August instead of September as usual and my Japan ETF will pay out in September instead of August.
  • Thus the dividend is +10% above the previous year. Including the Unilever dividend, it would be approx. +28% and +20%, respectively, if my Japan ETF had paid out in August as before
  • In the current year, dividends are up +26% after 9 months over the first 8 months of 2022 at ~€2,000


Purchases & Sales:


With October now follows a statistically positive stock market month, which, however, can also tend to very strong downward swings (1987, 2008)

On average, however, October is about +0.5%. In my portfolio, October was positive in 2022 and 2021, but negative in the 3 years before (2018-2020).


What do you guys expect for October and especially the 4th quarter? Year-end rally, sideways trend or yet again significantly lower prices?


#dividends

#dividende

#rückblick

#depotupdate

#aktie

#stocks

#etfs

#crypto

#personalstrategy

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20 Comentarios

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Super 😊👍 September 2022 was really heavy, just looked at my earnings from last year gave 16k price losses 😂 this time it was not quite as bad, but for 2 times in a row proved the stock market wisdom "Come back in September" forn arsch 😂
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@Simpson Yes, absolutely. The last September was with me with -6% really also a blow in the fressen. Since about -3% are really relaxed 😂😂 That's right, with me it is now already the 4th September in a row. Let's see if 2024 makes the 5 full 😂
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@Simpson actually, come back in september also means the end of september, as september historically also shows weak prices
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well come back in which you buy, then already fits with the proverb 😋
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I really like 👍 the first 10-15 titles more ...is already really neat 🫡
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@AnneS thank you, of course you have to say that the depot is also 10 years in the making or has developed :)
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@Vik1337
Thank you very much! In fact, the high USA share is deliberately chosen by me for 3 reasons: - With few exceptions, the best companies in the world are in the USA (LVMH, ASML, TSMC or similar are exceptions) - The big companies from the USA are active worldwide. Microsoft, Google, Apple are used worldwide, as well as the products of Coca Cola or Procter & Gamble. Also McDonalds or Starbucks is visited worldwide, we pay with VISA and MasterCard,.... (I seem to remember that in the SP500 about 60% of the earnings come from the USA, the remaining 40% globally) - Because I live in Europe and am employed by a German company my salary depends on Germany / Europe. Likewise the pension, here I am also dependent on Germany. If I ever buy or build a house, it will be on German soil. In my eyes, all those who live in Germany are massively overweight in Europe. Therefore, I want to bring with USA share quite direction 80% to reduce my Europe share on the entire Leven related :)
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1Año
@Mister_ultra Interesting idea with the overweighting of D and EMU for all those living in D. I haven't read or heard that before. But there is definitely something to it. Thanks for that!
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@Epi Assuming you have a property in Germany with a value of ~0.5 million. In addition, the cash flow from the employment relationship (over 40 years, these are also 2-3 million) and the pension entitlements (probably also over 0.5 million at 2,500 EUR pension over 20 years) [inflation excluded] Then you are quickly at 4-5 million, which are directly or indirectly dependent on the development in Germany or Europe. Even with a portfolio of one million completely invested in the U.S., the overall U.S. share would then only be at 20-25%. Of course, you can not look at it 1 to 1 so, but for me the reason why I clearly overweight the U.S. :)
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1Año
@Mister_ultra In principle, German savers should definitely give these thoughts some thought, but I would also include the risk of each asset in the calculation. Pension entitlements are likely to be quite safe, at least nominally, similar to government bonds. You can also calculate the expected return of the pension (it is not that much, currently about 4%pa, I think). The real estate is not easy to value with the market value if you use it yourself, but as such it is quite safe. Possibly with the discounted cash flow of the saved rent until end of life? I think the return and risk from the employment is even more difficult to grasp. It is probably more like a large capital stock from which one constantly withdraws something until it is used up at retirement or transferred to pension plans. The question now would be how to correctly value this "life portfolio" and what conclusions can be drawn from it for the asset allocation and its risk profile of the reserves. Probably the answer depends on the planned retirement date and the individual savings rate, but I am not very familiar with that. I would still be interested to know!
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@Epi Absolutely and very good points. Always a very helpful "discussion" with you! Probably one would also have to consider whether one credits 100% of the claims from the employment relationship or only the claims that one theoretically has from an occupational disability insurance or the state insurance. On the other hand, I do not calculate with my portfolio with a total loss, even if that can of course occur just as -> In fact, I have never calculated it in detail to support my argument (we are all overweighted in D) -> For my investment strategy, this rough estimate is enough for me that D is probably overall significantly overweighted to sleep very well with a U.S. share of 75-80% Maybe I make a separate contribution. Would be quite exciting how other opinions on this are.
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Do you work through a holding company or why are there no taxes?
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@cashmitkopf no, unfortunately not. In fact, quite simple, I do not record taxes but only the gross figures. Since I compare myself against the benchmark and that of course does not include taxes and fees, I do not record them with me. Second reason: Tax changes such as the increase in the tax allowance from 801 to 1,000 €. This alone would have increased my dividend, although it might even have decreased gross due to reductions or exchange rates. That's why I always record everything gross.
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Looks good 👍
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Strong portfolio, but it's hard to estimate the 74% share of the USA. Maybe strengthen Japan, Asia, Europe and the UK a bit more?
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Question with which program the representation of dividends made ?
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@JoeBadman oh now I have doubled the question 😅
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@JoeBadman @Alexproxs I answer best directly here 😂 This is actually made with getquin, you see in my eyes in this form but not in the app, but only via the browser version on the PC :)
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Is the dividend view made by Getquin or also with Portfolio Performance. Think more the former but have never seen it in this form
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