I also think that the Trump administration is committed to the interests of tech companies. Nevertheless, I don't see that his policies will lead to a net reduction in conflicts. The disregard for international law by Russia, Israel and, more recently, the USA is widening the corridor of injustice, along which other states will also let off steam. India, Saudi Arabia and China are delighted to see the USA's imperial power play. In this respect, a raw materials agreement with Russia at the expense of Ukraine will certainly be profitable in the medium term. In the longer term, however, many other concentrations of power are gaining strength worldwide, possibly even united by their antipathy towards the USA. We have been seeing free trade agreements in the Asian region for some years now, as well as bold self-confidence on the part of South American and African states.
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@T-Dax Conflicts will probably not become fewer, but smaller in scale, because wars are now bad for business. Iran and Venezuela in particular show what the future looks like - quick, precise strikes instead of material battles and positional fighting.
International law is becoming obsolete and, in fact, the legitimacy of the International Court of Justice in The Hague has never been recognized by any US president. International law has always been cynically designed so that only Western countries could invoke international law.
The fact that the law of the strongest now applies quite openly is of course bad for the Western and European states that want to be humanistic and liberal in their self-image, because it is repugnant to them to justify themselves with national interests. European foreign policy can only take place under the pretext of doing good and helping everyone else.
As you rightly say, the other pragmatic states are also totally up for this new world. China alone, with its half-dozen border conflicts, naturally feels emboldened to enforce them militarily and violently if the USA's willingness to go to war declines.
The Asian free trade agreements are a good thing for everyone involved, aren't they? And South America and Africa can beat their drums a lot, but are not in a position to set anything in motion for the foreseeable future.
International law is becoming obsolete and, in fact, the legitimacy of the International Court of Justice in The Hague has never been recognized by any US president. International law has always been cynically designed so that only Western countries could invoke international law.
The fact that the law of the strongest now applies quite openly is of course bad for the Western and European states that want to be humanistic and liberal in their self-image, because it is repugnant to them to justify themselves with national interests. European foreign policy can only take place under the pretext of doing good and helping everyone else.
As you rightly say, the other pragmatic states are also totally up for this new world. China alone, with its half-dozen border conflicts, naturally feels emboldened to enforce them militarily and violently if the USA's willingness to go to war declines.
The Asian free trade agreements are a good thing for everyone involved, aren't they? And South America and Africa can beat their drums a lot, but are not in a position to set anything in motion for the foreseeable future.
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