$AM

The Indian Navy will receive 26 Rafale fighter aircraft from France for aircraft carrier operations. The intergovernmental agreement between India and France was signed today, as the company writes in a press release.

The contract follows the selection of the "Rafale Marine" for the Indian Navy, which was announced in July 2023. This is the first time that aircraft of this type will be delivered to a user outside France, as Dassault explains. The aircraft won an international competition.

According to press reports, the order is worth around 7.5 billion US dollars. The government-to-government contract includes 22 single-seat and four two-seat aircraft, weapons, simulators, crew training services and multi-year logistical support. According to the Times of India, the aircraft are to be delivered between 37 and 65 months after the contract is signed. Accordingly, the last Rafale would be delivered in 2031. It is scheduled to be deployed on the Indian aircraft carrier INS Vikrant.

The Rafale Marine will provide the Indian armed forces with state-of-the-art capabilities and the Indian Navy will benefit from the experience of the French Navy, Dassault writes. The company has already delivered 36 Rafale aircraft to the Indian Air Force.

According to Indian media, the latest contract also includes a technology transfer for the integration of Indian weapons. Furthermore, the establishment of a production line for Rafale fuselages as well as facilities for the maintenance, repair and overhaul of engines, sensors and weapons in India is also planned. India expects this to create several thousand jobs.

In the press release, Dassault underlines the company's determination to put its presence in India at the service of Indian interests through its contribution to the 'Make in India' policy and the 'Skill India' initiative.

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https://www.hartpunkt.de/milliardenauftrag-dassault-liefert-26-rafale-kampfflugzeuge-fuer-indiens-marine/

It seems like my post about Europas F-35-Sicherheitsdilemma could not have come at a better time:

Dependence on US armaments is increasingly perceived as a risk factor for Europe's military and security sovereignty and is now being publicly addressed at the highest political level faster than I would have expected.

French President Emmanuel Macron

President of France Emmanuel Macron has made it clear in an interview with Le Parisien that he is critical of Europe's purchase and use of US armaments and proposed replacing them with European alternatives.

Macron was also quite clear: "Those who buy Patriot systems should be offered the next generation of the Franco-Italian SAMP/T. Those who buy F-35s should be offered the Rafale fighter aircraft."

His main concern is greater strategic autonomy for Europe:

• Criticism of US systems: Poland plans to buy American F-35 fighter jets ($LMT) and Patriot ($RYTT34). Macron questions these decisions and proposes European solutions.
• European optionsMacron specifically mentions approaches such as joint European development projects to reduce dependence on the USA. Examples include European fighter jets such as Saab Gripen ($SAAB B), Eurofighter ($AIR - $BA. - $MTX - $LDO) or Dassault
  Rafale ($AM) or air defense systems (e.g. SAMP/T from $HO, $BA., $AIR and $LDO or Oerlikon Skynex from $RHM).
• Long-term strategyMacron's proposals aim to strengthen Europe's military independence by pooling technology, production capacities and resources in the EU member states' own economic area in the long term.

Macron is thus sending a clear signal for more European cooperation in the defense sector and against an excessive focus on US technology.

#emmanuelmacron
#usa
#defense
#verteidigung
#rüstungsindustrie
#europa
$R3NK
$IE0002Y8CX98
$HAG

First countries reconsider their orders, Portugal has now canceled, Turkey now wants Eurofighters. Eurofighter, Gripen and Rafale as alternatives.

In Europe, and particularly among the USA's NATO partners, uncertainty about political and military relations between the USA under Donald Trump and Europe has been growing steadily since his inauguration in January 2025. Trump's statements and especially his actions in recent weeks have shown unmistakably that the USA is no longer a reliable partner for Europe (and presumably also NATO) and does not want to be.

Especially those European countries that, in response to Russia's war of aggression against Ukraine F-35 fighter jets from Lockheed Martin $LMT worth well over 250 billion euros are now faced with a critical dilemma:

Technically, Europe's F-35 fleets can be deactivated by the US at any time, as each aircraft relies on US-controlled launch codes and proprietary US communication and navigation systems (see also the deactivation of Ukrainian HIMARS systems (from Lockheed Martin $LMT ) in the last few days. Source: Tagesspiegel, March 2025). In the event of a crisis, the USA could practically paralyze the European air forces or at least prohibit missions. The USA had already done this with Egyptian F-16 fighter jets in 2014. (Source: T-Online, February 2025)

Since 2022, 12 European countries have ordered around 550 F-35 fighter jets (in different variants and versions):

• Germany: 35
• Romania: 32 (additionally planned: 16)
• Czech Republic: 24
• Finland: 64
• Switzerland: 36
• Netherlands: 52 (including additional orders)
• Poland: 32
• Belgium: 34
• Italy: 90 (60 F-35A and 30 F-35B)
• Norway: 52
• United Kingdom: 48 (planned: 138)
• Denmark: 27

The first countries are already taking action: Portugal recently announced that it was halting the planned procurement of F-35 fighter jets and looking at European alternatives instead.

"The Portuguese Defense Minister Nuno Melo has announced that the country will not purchase F-35 fighter jets from the United States in view of the current geopolitical situation and the unpredictability of US policy. Instead, alternatives from European production will also be considered." (Source: Poder Aéreo, March 2025)

Turkey also recently received a concrete offer for 40 Eurofighter jets from Airbus $AIR BAE Systems $BA. and Leonardo $LDO - a clear sign of distancing itself from the USA.

"Turkey plans to procure a total of 40 Eurofighter Typhoon Tranche 4 fighter jets in the form of 20+20. All Tranche 4 jets, which represent the most advanced Typhoon configuration for air-to-air combat, will be newly produced.

However, Ankara can also procure a number of used Typhoons for training purposes. This possibility is also currently under discussion." (Source: Al-Monitor, March 2025).

If other European countries follow these examples, European fighter aircraft manufacturers could benefit considerably. Now, fighter aircraft are not of-the-shelf products that are mass-produced (with the exception of the F-35, unfortunately). Germany primarily opted for the F-35 because only the F-35 can be equipped with the nuclear weapons stationed in Germany (the use of nuclear weapons stationed in Germany - even just transportation from A to B - requires joint technical approval by Germany and the USA).

In my opinion, Gripen (Saab $SAAB B ) and Eurofighter (Airbus $AIR BAE Systems $BA. Leonardo $LDO MTU Aero Engines $MTX etc) would be the most attractive alternatives in the short term. The Saab Gripen has an almost unbeatable price-performance ratio (especially thanks to the low service and maintenance costs) and the infrastructure for Eurofighter is already solidly developed. Dassault Aviation $AM (Rafale) should of course not be underestimated either, but I see it in 3rd place.

I can well imagine that this costly security dilemma is currently being hotly debated in Europe's defense ministries and that exit strategies are already being evaluated. I can also imagine that European buyers of the F-35 are holding on to their canceled orders as leverage in case Trump imposes even more dramatic punitive tariffs or even escalates to a whole new level. In addition to the orders for F-35s, the Europeans are also likely to be reviewing their orders for HIMARS and the like.

However, one thing is already clear to the Europeans: Europe must become sovereign as quickly as possible - in terms of security policy, economy and technology - and can no longer rely on the USA. After Portugal and probably also Turkey, I expect more F-35 dominoes to fall in the near future.

Sources:

https://www.t-online.de/nachrichten/ausland/internationale-politik/id_100609126/general-alarmiert-usa-koennten-europaeische-f-35-jets-abschalten.html

https://www.aereo.jor.br/2025/03/13/portugal-descarta-compra-de-cacas-f-35-e-avalia-alternativas-europeias/

https://www.al-monitor.com/originals/2025/03/turkey-receives-price-offer-40-eurofighter-jets-amid-trump-eu-rift

https://www.tagesspiegel.de/internationales/usa-deaktivieren-zielerfassung-bei-den-himars-verliert-die-ukraine-jetzt-eine-ihrer-effektivsten-waffen-13327513.html

When I noticed the sharp drop in the share price today, I initially had mixed feelings and briefly considered selling Tesla.

But then I sold $AM sold and $TSLA further increased my stake