Summary:

The analysts, if their latest price target revision is to be believed—and this revision paints a significantly more optimistic picture than it did just two weeks ago. Infineon went through one of the harshest corrections of the year: Triggered by a disappointing revenue forecast from competitor STMicroelectronics on July 24, which dragged down the entire European semiconductor sector, the stock fell well below its all-time high of approximately 87.79–88.70 EUR. However, a clear trend reversal has been emerging since July 31: Driven by strong results from competitors Samsung and Micron, the stock has rebounded strongly—and the consensus estimate for earnings per share (EUR 0.45) has already been revised upward six times in the past 90 days. Eleven analysts have an average price target of 88.70 EUR—well above the current level of approximately 62 EUR. On August 5, 2026, just two trading days from now, we’ll see who is ultimately proven right.

Key points:

• Price: approx. 61.67–62 EUR — well below the all-time high of approx. 87.79–88.70 EUR EPS — consensus 0.45 EUR — revised upward six times in the last 90 days
• Analysts’ average price target: 88.70 EUR (11 analysts) — implied upside potential of over 40% P/E ratio: 43.32 — high valuation premium, typical for cyclical semiconductor stocks
• Q3 results (fiscal year 2025/26): August 5, 2026 — Company currently in the quiet period
• Trigger for the correction: STMicro’s revenue warning on July 24 dragged down the entire sector
• Trend reversal since July 31: Rally driven by strong results from Samsung and Micron; Smart Power Fab Dresden opened (July 2) — EUR 5 billion investment, completed ahead of schedule; AI revenue target: EUR 1.5 billion (FY 2026), EUR 2.5 billion (2027)
• BlackRock is the largest shareholder with a 6.78% stake

Are you buying from $IFX (-0,67 %) again?

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Dear Community,

To kick off the week, I’d like to introduce you to my “Pick-and-Shovel” wikifolio “Euro AI Backbone” (in German: Backbone). More detailed information will follow; for now, this is just a rough overview.

_________________________

Background

The market’s focus is primarily on the U.S., while Europe often plays a more subordinate role. Yet recent years in particular have made it clear just how dependent Europe is on other countries such as the U.S., Russia, and China.

By the time the “Orange Man” began his second term, it had become clear:

Europe must become more independent —not only in the field of defense but also in the field of AI.

For nearly five years, Goldman Sachs has maintained an index called “EU AI Capex,” which consists of 64 European stocks. This served as the blueprint for my wikifolio.

The wikifolio was launched on June 18, 2026. For the wikifolio to receive “Investable” status, it needs, among other things, 10 bookmarks. So I’d really appreciate it if you could click “Add to Watchlist” on the wikifolio—thanks in advance.

_________________________

The “Pick-and-Shovel” Approach

The wikifolio aims to cover as much of the value chain for operating modern artificial intelligence as possible.

The focus here is primarily on five areas:

• The Shovels: Semiconductors and machinery (e.g., lithography systems, wafer deposition, chip assembly)
• The Gas: Electricity and energy generation (e.g., wind power, hydroelectric power, solar power plants)
• Highways: Networks and cables (e.g., transformers, high-voltage undersea cables, power grid infrastructure, transmission lines)
• The brain: Automation and data center cooling (e.g., liquid cooling, power distribution cabinets, data networks, control systems)
• The Physical Foundation: Construction, emergency power, and security (e.g., construction of the facilities, emergency power generators, cybersecurity)

_________________________

Investment Universe

The portfolio includes European large-, mid-, and small-cap stocks.

Focus: Technology (semiconductor equipment), utilities (electricity, grids), and industrials (automation, specialty cables, data center construction, cybersecurity).

The Core: European market leaders with global monopolies and competitive moats.

The Tech Specialists: Profitable second-tier suppliers as yield boosters.

The foundation: Energy producers, grid operators, and construction specialists for stable cash flows and risk hedging.

Regular rebalancing, which typically takes place at the beginning of each month, prevents concentration risk. While the foundation remains unchanged, the weightings of individual securities may be adjusted. The replacement of individual stocks, the addition of new stocks, or the exclusion of individual stocks can also take place at the beginning of the month.

Initially, the portfolio consists of 37 stocks. There is no cash reserve.

The current allocation of holdings is as follows:

By sector:

• Industrial: 44%
• Utilities: 29%
• Technology: 26%
• Consumer Discretionary: 1%

By country:

• Germany: 24%
• United Kingdom: 14%
• Switzerland: 13%
• Netherlands: 12%
• France: 12%
• Spain: 10%
• Italy: 9%
• Denmark: 2%
• Finland: 2%
• Austria: 2%

Investments are made exclusively in European stocks. None ETFs, no investment certificates, no funds, no leveraged products.

_________________________

Initial Holdings

At the start, the portfolio comprises the following 37 securities, sorted by their current weighting:

Infineon $IFX (-0,67 %) , ASML Holding $ASML (-0,73 %) , Siemens $SIE (-1,59 %) , Enel $ENEL (-0,4 %) , Rolls-Royce $RR. (-2,72 %) , Schneider Electric $SU (-2,07 %) , Iberdrola $IBE (-0,98 %) , ABB $ABBN (-1,64 %) , VAT Group $VACN (-1,24 %) , Siemens Energy $ENR (-4,47 %) , Prysmian $PRY (-2,95 %) , ASM International $ASM (-1,72 %) , BE Semiconductor Industries $BESI (-0,5 %) , STMicroelectronics $STM (+1,17 %) , RWE $RWE (-1,05 %) , E.ON $EOAN (-0,29 %) , Legrand $LR (-2,36 %) , National Grid $NG. (-0,31 %) , Nokia $NOKIA (-1,2 %) , SSE $SSE (-0,35 %) , EDP Renovaveis $EDPR (-1,34 %) , Hochtief $HOT (-2,43 %) , Red Eléctrica de España $RED (+0,33 %) , Nexans $NEX (-2,42 %) , United Utilities $UUGRY (-0,3 %) , Enagas $ENG (+0,15 %) , Centric $CENTR , Spirax-Sarco Engineering $SPX (-0,6 %) , Soitex $SOI (+6,53 %) , Geberit $GEBN (-1,56 %) , Aixtron $AIXA (-2,48 %) , Orsted $ORSTED (-2,74 %) , Verbund $VER (-1,21 %) , SAFRAN $SAF (-2,34 %) , Thales $THALES (-1,59 %) , NKT $NKT (-2,04 %) , Andritz $ANDR (+0,97 %)

_________________________

Holding Period

Since infrastructure development is likely to continue for several more years, the holding period is clearly geared toward the long term. Short-term trading is avoided.

_________________________

Sources of Information

The following sources of information are primarily used to identify stocks:

Companies’ quarterly reports and financial statements.

Analyst reports and industry studies from global investment banks.

Business media and financial publications.

_________________________

I’m curious to see how the portfolio will perform over the long term. Monthly updates will keep you informed.

Hier geht es zum Euro AI Backbone-wikifolio

A full three months ahead of schedule, the new chip factory is $IFX (-0,67 %) and is thus Europe’s largest power semiconductor plant. Construction is in its final stages.

What are your general thoughts on the choice of location, subsidies, and any potential sales issues? Does this really make “us” independent of Asian and American companies, despite high energy costs?

https://www.mdr.de/nachrichten/sachsen/dresden/dresden-radebeul/neubau-eroeffnung,infineon-chip-fabrik-114.html

Best regards, and remember to drink plenty of fluids. Whatever it is 🍻☀️

Johannes

$IFX (-0,67 %)

Why I Still Consider Infineon One of Europe’s Most Interesting Technology Companies

Many investors still associate Infineon primarily with the automotive industry. In my view, that could be one of the reasons why the company is often underestimated by the market.

When people talk about artificial intelligence, most immediately think of NVIDIA. Yet they often forget that every data center, every AI server, every charging station, every wind turbine, and every modern vehicle requires power semiconductors. It is precisely in this area that Infineon ranks among the global market leaders.

A look at the company’s business segments shows just how broadly diversified it has become:

• Automotive – electrification, driver assistance systems, and autonomous driving

• Green Industrial Power – energy transition, power grids, battery storage, and industrial applications

• Power & Sensor Systems – AI data centers, power semiconductors, and power supplies

• Connected Secure Systems – cybersecurity, digital identities, and connected devices

I find the developments in the AI sector particularly interesting. Management expects revenue from power supply solutions for AI data centers to rise from around €700 million in 2025 to approximately €2.5 billion by 2027. That would represent more than a threefold increase within just a few years.

Key Figures for 2025:

• Revenue: €14.7 billion

• Segment earnings: €2.56 billion

• Segment margin: 17.5%

• Approximately 57,000 employees worldwide

What I like: Infineon is benefiting not from a single trend, but from several megatrends simultaneously.

• Artificial intelligence

• Electrification of transportation

• Expansion of power grids

• Renewable energy

• Industrial automation

• Digitalization and IT security

In my view, the current valuation still strongly reflects the cyclical nature of the automotive industry. The question, however, is whether, in five to ten years, Infineon will still be seen primarily as an automotive supplier or rather as an indispensable technology partner for energy efficiency, AI, and electrification.

For me, the key question isn’t which company develops the best AI chips.

The key question is: Who provides the infrastructure that allows these chips to operate in the first place?

That’s exactly where Infineon fits in.

That’s why I continue to view the stock as one of the most exciting long-term positions in my portfolio.

What do you think? Is the market still valuing Infineon too much as a cyclical semiconductor stock, or is a European compounder for the next 10 years taking shape here?

Dear Community,

Throughout last year, I found myself repeatedly wanting to focus on the European market as well. But the same old arguments kept dissuading me: The European market doesn’t deliver; Europe doesn’t meet my desire for a growth-oriented, high-yield portfolio, etc.

I also asked myself: Which sectors and industries do I want to cover? Where do I see enough potential to justify taking the risk? To what extent do I want to align my portfolio with this strategy?

In today’s episode, Alles auf Aktien: Fiese Gewinnwarnung bei BMW und Europas KI-Unabhängigkeitsaktien , something caught my attention:

A basket from Goldman Sachs, consisting of 64 European stocks, with the wonderful name: EU AI Capex.

Performance over the past five years: 17.5 percent annualized, including dividends.

_________________________

And which industries are covered?

• Semiconductors
• Machinery
• Electricity
• Networks
• Cables
• Energy
• Automation

Unfortunately, existing ETFs such as the iShares STOXX Europe 600 Utilities UCITS ETF or the iShares STOXX Europe 600 Technology UCITS ETF do not cover all of these sectors.

"Sounds exactly like what I was looking for," I thought to myself, and used my day off today to create an index tailored to my preferences.

Goldman Sachs has listed 12 of the 64 holdings, including their percentage allocations. The remaining 52 holdings appear to be known only to institutional investors, as the index isn’t publicly available.

So I created my own “Pie” through Trading 212. More specifically, a “Pie” is a personalized investment portfolio in which I can invest in multiple stocks and ETFs according to a percentage allocation I set myself and save toward them simultaneously via a single automated savings plan—with no expense ratio and no order fees.

It would go beyond the scope of this post to write about every individual security, which is why I chose this particular one. I didn’t make these decisions entirely on my own. Gemini helped me with this. In the end, we settled on 37 securities.

_________________________

On Selecting the Holdings

Together, we gradually added European market leaders across the entire value chain. We always kept an eye on the sectors—none should be left out.

_________________________

On the Percentage Allocation

It’s important to note upfront that the “pie” will be funded with 150 euros per month going forward. Since the minimum investment amount at Trading 212 is one euro, the smallest weighting in the “pie” must be at least 0.7%:

1.00 euro / 0.70% = 142.85 euro

The percentage allocation was then based on pricing power and global scalability.

More details on this may follow in a later post.

_________________________

About the Stocks

From EU AI Cortex Basket taken over by Goldman Sachs:

• Infineon ($IFX (-0,67 %)): 7.10%
• ASML ($ASML (-0,73 %)): 6.80%
• Siemens ($SIE (-1,59 %)): 6.00%
• Rolls-Royce ($RR. (-2,72 %)): 5.40%
• Enel ($ENEL (-0,4 %)): 5.40%
• Schneider Electric ($SU (-2,07 %)): 5.40%
• ABB ($ABBN (-1,64 %)): 5.00%
• Iberdrola ($IBE (-0,98 %)): 4.90%
• Siemens Energy ($ENR (-4,47 %)): 4.70%
• ASM International ($ASM (-1,72 %)): 3.70%
• Prysmian ($PRY (-2,95 %)): 3.60%
• BE Semiconductor ($BESI (-0,5 %)): 3.20%

Supplemented by the following stocks:

• VAT Group ($VACN (-1,24 %)): 4.50%
• STMicroelectronics ($STM (+1,17 %)): 2.50%
• Legrand ($LR (-2,36 %)): 2.00%
• RWE ($RWE (-1,05 %)): 1.95%
• Nokia ($NOKIA (-1,2 %)): 1.90%
• E.ON ($EOAN (-0,29 %)): 1.90%
• National Grid ($NG. (-0,31 %)): 1.80%
• SSE plc ($SSE (-0,35 %)): 1.70%
• EDP Renováveis ($EDPR (-1,34 %)): 1.60%
• Red Eléctrica ($RDEIY (+0 %)): 1.50%
• Nexans ($NEX (-2,42 %)): 1.50%
• Hochtief ($HOT (-2,43 %)): 1.50%
• Enagás ($ENG (+0,15 %)): 1.40%
• United Utilities ($UU. (-1,76 %)): 1.40%
• Spirax-Sarco ($SPX (-0,6 %)): 1.30%
• Centrica ($CNA (-1,36 %)): 1.30%
• Aixtron ($AIXA (-2,48 %)): 1.30%
• Orsted ($ORSTED (-2,74 %)): 1.15%
• Verbund AG ($VER (-1,21 %)): 1.10%
• Soitec ($SOI (+6,53 %)): 1.10%
• Safran ($SAF (-2,34 %)): 1.00%
• Thales ($HO (+0,06 %)): 1.00%
• Geberit ($GEBN (-1,56 %)): 0.90%
• NKT A/S ($NKT (-2,04 %)): 0.80%
• Andritz ($ANDR (+0,97 %)): 0.70%

The figures $IG (+0,72 %) , $SRG (-0,02 %) , $TRN (-0,59 %) , $ALFA (-0,64 %) , $ATCO B (-1,66 %) or $AEMMY can unfortunately only be traded via CFDs on Trading 212. Therefore, these securities could not be included.

_________________________

Trading 212 Pie

The Pie now accounts for about 10% of my portfolio, and I’ll be contributing 150 euros to it each month going forward.

I am convinced that Europe will succeed in becoming more independent. However, in my opinion, a self-sufficient Europe without any dependence whatsoever is simply not possible (keyword: globalization).

_________________________

Pie Composition

By country:

• Germany: 24.35%
• France: 15.4%
• Netherlands: 13.7%
• United Kingdom: 12.9%
• Switzerland: 10.4%
• Italy: 9%
• Spain: 7.8%
• Denmark: 1.95%
• Austria: 1.8%
• Portugal: 1.6%

By sector:

• Technology: 32.3%
• Industrial & Capital Goods: 31.5%
• Utilities & Energy Infrastructure: 36.2%

By industry:

• Semiconductors & Data Center Chips: 27.8%
• Energy Equipment & Grid Technology: 25.5%
• Electricity Generators: 16.1%
• Physical Networks & Storage: 10.1%
• Cable Infrastructure: 5.9%
• Vacuum Technology & Components: 6.5%
• Network Technology & Connectivity: 1.9%
• Data Centers & Industrial Construction: 3.1%
• Cyber and Perimeter Security: 3.1%

_________________________

I’m curious to see how the pie chart will develop.

P.S.: You can find the pie chart on Trading 212 under the name Euro AI Backbone GS to copy.

According to Ifo President Clemens Fuest, Europe faces an “existential threat”: Europe uses AI but has virtually no infrastructure. About 75 percent of the world’s high-performance computing capacity for modern AI is located in the U.S., with China accounting for about 15 percent and the EU for less than five percent.

He is therefore calling for an emergency program that includes more data centers, chip factories, energy infrastructure, faster approvals, and, if necessary, special economic zones. Energy is becoming a strategic issue, as AI data centers require enormous amounts of reliable electricity.

A study by the American investment bank Goldman Sachs titled “The Post-Modern Cycle” describes a new investment supercycle: AI, data centers, electricity, chips, defense, and infrastructure. The digital world suddenly needs concrete, cables, transformers, and power plants.

Goldman has created a corresponding portfolio called EU AI Capex.

It comprises 64 components. It is Europe’s publicly traded bet on AI infrastructure. Over the past five years, the index has gained 124 percent including dividends, which translates to an annualized return of 17.5 percent. The Stoxx Europe 600 has only managed 64 percent over the same period—an annualized rate of 10.3 percent.

The largest holdings show what this is all about: Infineon
$IFX (-0,67 %) has a weighting of 7.1 percent, ASML
$ASML (-0,73 %) stands at 6.8 percent, Siemens $SIE (-1,59 %) accounts for 6 percent, Rolls-Royce $RR. (-2,72 %) , Enel $ENEL (-0,4 %) and Schneider Electric
$SU (-2,07 %) at 5.4 percent. ABB $ABBN (-1,64 %) has a weighting of five percent, Iberdrola
$IBE (-0,98 %) at 4.9 percent, Siemens Energy
$ENR (-4,47 %) at 4.7 percent, ASM International
$ASM (-1,72 %) at 3.7 percent, Prysmian $PRY (-2,95 %) at 3.6 percent, and BE Semiconductor
$BESI (-0,5 %) at 3.2 percent.

This means the index is not purely a tech index, but rather reflects Europe’s physical AI value chain: semiconductors, machinery, electricity, networks, cables, energy, and automation. ASML is Europe’s strategic crown jewel. Fuest even says that ASML is so far Europe’s only truly strategic asset in this sector, because the U.S. also depends on it.

The risk: Europe talks, but doesn’t build. Energy remains expensive, permits take a long time, regulation slows down projects—and in the end, we remain customers of American models.

The opportunity: Europe is waking up. Then digital sovereignty will trigger a capex boom, and stocks will get a new boost. Anyone who wants European AI must definitely buy European infrastructure.

Source: “Welt” (excerpt), June 17, 2026

Too bad my text got lost!

I opened a small position today in $IFX (-0,67 %) because I've been thinking about it since 60 euros.

But it won't be a long runner, it will probably be short term.

let's see what else happens 👍

+135% 1-year performance

Company portrait

Business model

Operating business Decarbonization

Intelligent mobility solutions AI potential

Organic growth

Strategy

Management

Market Competition

Key financial figures

Quarterly figures

Outlook

Link: https://shorturl.at/fsabu

$IFX (-0,67 %)