6Lun·

Hello everyone. I've been working on my first stock analysis for hours now, comparing the CEP services with each other, and it's really hard to figure out which company is the best. $FDX (+0,68 %) FedEx has $UPS (+0,85 %) as the market leader, but FedEx's earnings per share are also higher than those of UPS. However, FedEx's equity ratio has always remained stable, while UPS has only been able to reduce its debt ratio for two years. In terms of dividends, FedEx did not raise its dividend from 2019 to 2021, which is the case with UPS. FedEx is also not as well represented in Europe as UPS. The P/E ratio is more attractive at FedEx, but the share is currently overvalued according to the P/B ratio. However, the takeover of TNT means that FedEx can now secure even more market share.


As you can see, I am completely overwhelmed by so many figures. Then there is $DHL (+0,59 %) which should not be underestimated. But that's somehow too much for me😅 How do you do your analysis? What key figures do you look at?

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I'm so glad that people with above-average intelligence have developed ETFs and gotten them approved for people with average intelligence like me. 💫⚜️🌐
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Company 4: DSV ;-)
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You should also consider how much of the profit is distributed. Especially for capital-intensive companies, a high payout ratio for the rising div but then too few reserves for capital efficiency would be a negative sign
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I personally like to watch (among other things):

1. how high is the free cash flow?
2. if dividends: what is the payout ratio?
3. what is the historical valuation (sales and earnings multiple)?
4. what is the outlook for expected sales and earnings over the next 24 months? (I rarely consider more than 24 months to be reasonable, just as the weather forecast is hardly reliable for more than 72 hours)

For the following reason: ultimately it always comes down to whether and how much a company earns. Everything else is of secondary importance in the long term.
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Why do you want to invest in logistics? The return on investment is poor and everything has so many employees who cause massive costs 🤔
You'd better think again.
And if you do, would you rather invest in $UNP?
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