Bye bye PepsiCo, welcome TGT.
Did not like the high payout ratio from PepsiCo. Collected the dividend and sold with little profit on top.
Welcome TGT, way better payout ratio. Undervalued in my opinion. Higher dividend yield.
Puestos
96How do you do?
Here are a few stocks that I currently have on my watchlist. I have already bought a few tranches.
$TGT (-8,31 %)
$PEP (+0,6 %)
$NOVO B (-2,25 %)
$UPS (-9,45 %)
I think they are all quality companies and they also pay a dividend.
Novo Nordisk is possibly associated with more growth and the other three stocks are rather boring. However, I think the demand for the products and services will definitely not decrease.
I would be interested to know what you think of the companies mentioned. Do you have any of them on your watchlist, are you invested or do you want to get in? 😊👍🏻
Hello dear GQ community,
almost a month ago I already presented my portfolio and my investment case. (those interested can take another quick look at it)
I have now experienced the first correction of my investment career and can say that, yes, it hurts to look at the portfolio with all the red figures, but holding on to the fact that I am convinced of the companies in the long term has kept me strong up to this point. Only time will tell whether this correction was particularly strong or weak. True to the motto "red means supply", I have tried to use my uninvested budget for additional purchases and new positions.
I may have too many different positions for some people's taste and still have too large a stake in the US, tech and financial sectors. Overall, I am simply a fan of picking companies that fulfill three conditions:
- consistent dividend growth over the last 10 years
- long-term share price growth (depending on how long the company has been on the stock market, but if I don't have green figures over the maximum period, I leave you out)
- preferably a P/E ratio of less than 20 (with exceptions)
And generally in line with my case, a 3+% dividend.
In the unknown future, I will continue to hold my small positions of $PLTR (-1,3 %) , $BLK (-7,32 %) , $NVDA (-6,05 %) and $TGT (-8,31 %) (these were my first 4 purchases of 25€ each without any idea, Palantir compensates the losses of the other 3 quite nicely). From $AAPL (-6,25 %) in the long term, but it does not yet play a major role in my immediate savings.
By the end of the year, I will be saving a further €750 a month via a savings plan, split evenly between $PETR3 (-4,59 %) , $MUV2 (+0,75 %) , $7203 (-5,55 %) , $ENEL (+2,76 %) , $HTGC (-4,91 %) and $ALV (-0,37 %). With the aim of balancing out the inequality somewhat.
In general, I am very happy to have discovered this platform, as I have gathered many useful tips and experiences, so thank you for that.
I am always grateful for your opinions, tips and suggestions. Thanks for reading.
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00:00:00 Market overview
00:05:00 Eli Lilly & Novo Nordisk
00:24:30 Walmart, Costco, Target
00:42:20 Trend following models, FED, outlook
00:55:00 Gold, Gold 3x Factor ETF A1VBKP
01:11:20 Bitcoin
01:27:20 WisdomTree Europe Defense ETF A40Y9K
01:31:20 AI lies
Spotify
https://open.spotify.com/episode/6tYBjXQRNO1oZYrR2Yuwec?si=R6Vl3hd4Rk2LX80UeugNhw
YouTube
ApplePodcast
$BTC (-4,64 %)
#bitcoin
#gold
$LLY (-3,56 %)
$TGT (-8,31 %)
$COST (-0,44 %)
$WMT (-1,54 %)
$RHM (+2,85 %)
$SAAB B (+5,9 %)
$THALES (-2,81 %)
$SAF (+0 %)
$KOG (+2,71 %)
1 Meta Platforms (A)
Meta is investing heavily in AI and the metaverse - an exciting tech giant with solid cash flow after the correction.
2. paypal
Fintech giant with a strong market position in digital payments - currently valued more favorably due to the correction.
3. realty income
Stable dividend payer ("Monthly Dividend Company") from the real estate sector - down due to interest rate concerns, now an attractive entry point.
4. salesforce
Market leader in CRM software with good growth prospects - the correction is pushing the price down to a more interesting level.
5 Shopify (A)
E-commerce enabler with potential to profit from global online trade - more attractive again after setbacks.
6. target
Solid retail company with stable sales - fallen due to economic uncertainties and now valued more excitingly.
7 The Trade Desk (A)
Profiteer of growing digital advertising - currently cheaper due to tech sector correction.
8 Zeta Global Holdings
Growing in data-driven marketing - still a small cap with opportunities due to current valuation weakness.
9 Alphabet (A)
Google parent with strong AI and cloud position - correction offers long-term investors favorable entry opportunities.
10. amazon.com
Market leader in e-commerce and strong in the cloud sector (AWS) - currently more exciting again after declines.
11. ASML
Monopolist in EUV lithography machines for the chip industry - cheaper due to market downturn, but essential in the long term.
12. diageo
Strong consumer goods stock (e.g. spirits) - currently under pressure due to economic concerns, which creates good opportunities for additional buying.
13. HCA Healthcare
Largest private hospital operator in the USA - defensive business model, more interesting valuation after the correction.
14. Lam Research
Important supplier for the semiconductor industry - currently affected by the weak semiconductor market, but enormously important in the long term.
With these words, I wish you a pleasant Sunday evening and a successful week! $META (-7,03 %)
$LRCX (-10,47 %)
$HCA (-1,68 %)
$DGE (-0,06 %)
$ASML (-7,33 %)
$AMZN (-6,32 %)
$GOOGL (-3,55 %)
$ZETA (-6,3 %)
$TTD (-11,19 %)
$TGT (-8,31 %)
$SHOP (-11,05 %)
$CRM (-5,58 %)
$O (-1,43 %)
$PYPL (-7,18 %)
Now had to top up again at $TGT (-8,31 %) at 97€
$TGT (-8,31 %) ?? Why? Why is the title so bad? It's been a while since the last information. This one is no good
$TGT (-8,31 %) 3x at 99€
Another 7x will follow if we reach the 95€.
$VST (-12,24 %) 5x at 105€
another 5 will follow if we reach €97.
$ZTS (-4,03 %) 5x at 148€
$TGT (-8,31 %) ?? Why? Why is the title so bad? It's been a while since the last information. This one is no good
As a listener, I will summarize the most important findings from Target's presentation ($TGT (-8,31 %) ) to give you a comprehensive picture of the company's current situation and future strategy.
Brian Cornell, Target's CEO, opened the presentation with a clear focus on the key issues that are driving investors: Target's unique positioning in the retail industry, its strategies to intensify customer loyalty, and how to turn that loyalty into sales growth and profitability over the next five years.
Cornell emphasized that Target differentiates itself from other retailers by offering a shopping experience where customers can discover trendy and affordable products products that are not available elsewhere. This strategy led to a significant increase in customer visits, with 350 million additional visits compared to 2019. To further enhance this unique shopping experience, Target plans to invest between 4 to 5 billion dollars in stores, supply chain and technology.
Target wants to maintain this spirit by allowing customers to do what they need to do while discovering new and exciting products. The company is committed to providing an inviting shopping experience that encourages customers to linger, browse and buy, while making shopping quick and easy for customers who are short on time. To drive future growth, Target plans to increase sales by more than 15 billion dollars over the next five years.
Michael Fiddelke, Executive VP & COO, explained the operational implementation of the vision. He emphasized that the company is focused on offering a trendy assortment and at the same time enhancing the product experience through in-store and digital innovations improve the product experience. Fiddelke emphasized that despite its size of over 100 billion dollars, Target has a market share of less than 3% of a 4.2 trillion dollar market, which means significant growth potential.
An important aspect of Target's strategy is the linking stores and digital offerings. The stores not only serve as shopping destinations, but also as fulfillment centers for drive-up, same-day delivery and parcel shipping. Customers who use these services spend on average 20 % more at Target, including increased in-store spending.
To maximize inventory availability Target is introducing new metrics that will enable a more accurate assessment of in-stock performance. In addition, the core systems for inventory management are are being modernized with AI-supported tools to create more accurate forecasts and better position inventory levels.
Richard Gomez, Executive VP & Chief Commercial Officer, went into more detail about the assortment strategy which is based on three pillars: popular national brands, a 31 billion dollar private label portfolio and special partnerships. He emphasized that Target has grown by nearly $20 billion in the food and beverage, convenience and beauty categories and is now the fifth largest retailer in these categories in the US. To keep up with the increased demand, Target has opened three new food distribution centers and plans to open another one in 2026.
In the Hardlines Target is focusing on "Fun 101" to unlock the potential of toys, video games, music, books, sporting goods and technology to make Target a year-round destination for entertainment. In the Home Target is working to deliver a world-class shopping experience by focusing on style, design and affordability, while also offering the Target Plus Marketplace to increase assortment and offer customers more choice. In the Apparel Target increased sales by more than 3% in the fourth quarter and gained market share by shortening time-to-market and responding quickly to new trends.
Cara Sylvester, Executive VP and Chief Guest Experience Officer, emphasized Target's goal to combine the best of all shopping worlds without compromising. She emphasized that Target is improving the shopping experience by investing in innovations and personalization to strengthen customer loyalty. One example of this is the Drive Up Servicewhich is made even more convenient by integrations with Apple CarPlay and Android Auto. Target also uses GenAI technologyto aggregate product reviews, improve product pages and provide personalized gift recommendations.
The Target Plus marketplace also contributes to digital growth and currently generates over 1 billion dollars in GMV, with the goal of reaching 5 billion dollars in the next five years. Another focus is on the Target Circle loyalty program, which is being further enhanced through the integration of exclusive offers and partnerships, such as with Marriott Bonvoy.
James Lee, Executive VP & CFO, provided insight into Target's financial performance and long-term financial goals. He emphasized that Target achieved stronger than expected revenue growth and earnings per share in the fourth quarter. Lee also highlighted the uniqueness of Target's omnichannel approach, where its various fulfillment options work together to increase customer loyalty. In addition, the digital business an additional profiteven if the profit margin is lower than in stores. Lee also explained the profitability of Target's six core merchandise categories and emphasized that the different margins and sales trends have a significant impact on overall profitability.
In order to maintain flexibility and efficiency Target is working on shortening lead times in the apparel and home categories and expanding the Target Plus range. In the long term, Target is aiming for sales growth in the low to mid single-digit range and a EPS growth in the mid to high single-digit range. range. For 2025, the company expects sales growth of around 1% and adjusted earnings per share of between 8.80 and 9.80 dollars.
The presentation was followed by a question and answer session with analysts.
Michael Lasser from UBS asked about the predictability of the business model and the point at which the investments made will become visible in the business figures. He also inquired about the effects of the tariffs on the forecast for 2025. Cornell replied that Target is focusing on continuity and reliability and reliability and focuses on the impact of tariffs on consumers.
Simeon Gutman from Morgan Stanley asked about the previous previous target of an EBIT margin of 6 % and the flexibility of the company in terms of reinvestment. Cornell emphasized that Target has invested significantly in its business in recent years and will continue to do so in order to achieve its strategic goals. strategic goals achieve its strategic goals.
Christopher Horvers from JPMorgan inquired about the growth of the Target Plus growth of the Target Plus marketplace and the expectations regarding possible special offers and promotions in the first quarter. Cara Sylvester explained that Target Plus plays an important role in the expansion of the product range and that the company continues to focus on consumer-oriented growth. consumer-oriented growth growth.
Cristina Morales from Signum Research wanted to know how Target gain market share wants to gain market share. Richard Gomez emphasized that Target is focusing on offering customers an omnichannel experience experience and integrating them into the Target ecosystem to increase customer loyalty increase customer loyalty.
Paul Lejuez from Citi asked about the forecast for the like-for-like sales growth in 2025 and the expectations for the individual individual categories. He also wanted to know how food inflation is developing. Richard Gomez explained that Target is not expecting uncertainties in some areas, Target is taking a cautious approach for the year 2025.
In conclusion, Target is pursuing a clear strategy to further strengthen its position in the retail sector and achieve long-term growth. The company is focusing on a shopping experience, a diverse product range, innovative digital offerings and high customer loyalty.
🔹 EPS: $2.41 (Est. $2.26) 🟢
🔹 Revenue: $30.9B (Est. $30.89B) 🟢
🔹 Comparable Sales: +1.5% (Est. +1.8%) 😑
FY25 Guidance:
🔹 EPS: $8.80 - $9.80 (Est. $9.24) 😑
🔹 Revenue Growth: ~1%
🔹 Comparable Sales Growth: ~Flat
🔹 Operating Margin: Modest Increase
Outlook:
🔸 Expects a 'meaningful' drop in Q1 profit compared to the year-ago period as it contends with 'ongoing consumer uncertainty,' soft sales in February, and concerns around tariffs
Q4 Key Metrics:
🔹 S.S.S (Stores: -0.5%, Digital: +8.7%)
🔹 EBITDA: $2.26B (Est. $2.14B) 🟢
🔹 Operating Margin: 4.7% (5.8% YoY)
🔹 Gross Margin: 26.2% (26.6% YoY)
🔹 SG&A Expense: 19.4% of revenue (18.8% YoY)
Q4 Segment Performance (YoY):
🔹 Apparel & Accessories: $4.34B (-1.5%)
🔹 Beauty: $3.44B (+0.6%)
🔹 Food & Beverage: $6.52B (-3.7%)
🔹 Hardlines: $6.15B (-0.7%)
🔹 Household Essentials: $4.79B (-5.1%)
🔹 Home Furnishings: $5.09B (-8.0%)
Strategic & Business Updates:
🔹 Digital Sales Growth: +8.7% in Q4
🔹 Same-Day Delivery Growth: +25% YoY
🔹 $2B+ in Cost Savings Over Two Years
🔹 $506M Share Buybacks in Q4
🔹 Dividend Payout: $513M (+1.8% YoY)
CEO Brian Cornell’s Commentary:
🔸 "We delivered better-than-expected sales and profitability, led by strong performance in Beauty, Apparel, and Toys. As we move forward, investments in digital, supply chain, and in-store experience will further strengthen Target’s competitive edge.”