Die ersten drei Monate nach dem IPO sind sehr entscheidend, danach ist es erst das Jahr. Finchat ist mega Gut, einfach innovativ und wenn man mit dem Entwickler bzw Founder schreibt reagieren die meist am gleichen Tag mit der neuen Funktion.
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•@topicswithhead Statistics on IPO Declines
Broken IPOs: The percentage of "broken" IPOs—those that close below their offering price on the first trading day—rose significantly. In 2023, 50% of IPOs were classified as broken, an increase from 37% in 2022 and 24% over the preceding five years (2017-2021). This is the highest level since 2008, when nearly two-thirds of IPOs were broken4.
Median Year-End Performance: Companies that went public in 2023 ended the year trading a median of 56% below their offering price. This figure is only slightly better than the 55% decline seen in 2022. In contrast, 80% of companies from the 2022 cohort were trading below their offering price at year-end, marking one of the worst performances in recent history14.
Duration of Declines: While specific statistics on the duration until peak declines are less frequently reported, historical trends suggest that significant drops often occur within the first three months following an IPO. Many companies experience their most substantial losses shortly after their market debut, typically within this timeframe.
**** Market Trends and Implications
Overall Performance: The average share price return for IPOs since their debut has been negative, with a median decline of approximately -7.7%. This indicates that while some companies perform well, a substantial number do not sustain their initial valuations3.
Market Capitalization Impact: Smaller companies tend to experience higher rates of broken IPOs. Among companies with market capitalizations under $150 million, about 67% were classified as broken. In contrast, larger companies (over $3 billion) had more unbroken than broken IPOs3.
Investor Sentiment: The decline in IPO performance can be attributed to various factors including market conditions, investor sentiment, and regulatory challenges. The fear of red tape and associated costs has led many potential public companies to reconsider going public altogether2.
Broken IPOs: The percentage of "broken" IPOs—those that close below their offering price on the first trading day—rose significantly. In 2023, 50% of IPOs were classified as broken, an increase from 37% in 2022 and 24% over the preceding five years (2017-2021). This is the highest level since 2008, when nearly two-thirds of IPOs were broken4.
Median Year-End Performance: Companies that went public in 2023 ended the year trading a median of 56% below their offering price. This figure is only slightly better than the 55% decline seen in 2022. In contrast, 80% of companies from the 2022 cohort were trading below their offering price at year-end, marking one of the worst performances in recent history14.
Duration of Declines: While specific statistics on the duration until peak declines are less frequently reported, historical trends suggest that significant drops often occur within the first three months following an IPO. Many companies experience their most substantial losses shortly after their market debut, typically within this timeframe.
**** Market Trends and Implications
Overall Performance: The average share price return for IPOs since their debut has been negative, with a median decline of approximately -7.7%. This indicates that while some companies perform well, a substantial number do not sustain their initial valuations3.
Market Capitalization Impact: Smaller companies tend to experience higher rates of broken IPOs. Among companies with market capitalizations under $150 million, about 67% were classified as broken. In contrast, larger companies (over $3 billion) had more unbroken than broken IPOs3.
Investor Sentiment: The decline in IPO performance can be attributed to various factors including market conditions, investor sentiment, and regulatory challenges. The fear of red tape and associated costs has led many potential public companies to reconsider going public altogether2.
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3Wo.
@topicswithhead sehr interessant. Das mit en IPOs ist mir gleich von Anfang an aufgefallen. Wenn Renk sich wie alle anderen verhält, dann müsste die Aktie locker auf das Level um die 10€ runter kommen. Ich beobachte das auf jeden Fall mal, auch im RSI. Meistens erkennt man dann die Trendwende anhand bullischer Divergenzen.
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@Dirty30 naja die haben ja auch noch ein Trend hinter sich, sind deutsch und small cap, daher fallen die bestimmt sehr volatil aus. Aber gerade in Deutschland lohnt es sich nach IPOs zu warten, hab keine Statistiken aber der Letzte Erfolgreiche IPO ist bestimmt sehr lange her
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•@topicswithhead weiß nicht wie Porsche nach einem Jahr aus sah aber jetzt zumindest ist es bestimmt ne Ewigkeit her
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3Wo.
@topicswithhead ja erstmal abwarten. Ich kann mir auch nicht vorstellen, dass die ab jetzt wieder einen Aufwärtstrend startet, zumal die deutschen Indizes sowieso mal wieder reif für ne größere Korrektur sind und Renk nicht gegen den Trend handeln wird.
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