7Mon.·

Jetzt noch alle rein bevor die Rakete wieder zündet durch NASDAQ 100 Aufnahme! $MSTR (-6,26 %)

33 Kommentare

Thomas@DonkeyKongx

7Mon.

Ich bin mit 30k dabei 🤫💯

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He-Man D.@He-Man

7Mon.

Ist das nicht schon eingepreist?

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Alexander_Bitcoin@Alexander_Bitcoin

7Mon.

@He-Man nein es kommt ja dann auch neues Geld rein. Das unterstützt den Kurs und es wird dann noch eine Rallye kommen. Vor allem wenn BTC wieder zündet. Keine Anlageberatung.

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Erdbeermaus@Lumimyrsky

7Mon.

@He-Man denke das wir unabhängig davon eh nochmal einen Finalen Schub bekommen könnten

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Dennis@GordonGekko83

7Mon.

@He-Man glaube auch nicht, dass das jetzt den Deckel fliegen lässt. Durch die überhitzte Bewertung werden andere ihre Papiere zu gern aus der Hand geben.

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Jim@wealth_navigator_64

7Mon.

@GordonGekko83 so ein Quatsch, danach kommt der Beitritt in den s&p 500 wenn ich mich nicht täusche. Einfach halten und wenn Bitcoin wieder ansetzt freut man sich

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nielsblankestijn@nielsblankestijn

7Mon.

@He-Man Yes, inclusion into index funds is priced in. Institutional investors anticipate on those inclusions. If this was not the case, there would be a significant opportunity for arbitrage, violating the most fundamental theorem of investing. If this was not priced in, but it was well-known that a company is close to an index, significantly increasing demand, everybody will buy, hence we have upward pressure on the price. Of course there is stochasticity and irrationality which may lead to additional short-term surges, but on overall inclusion into an index fund is most definitely priced in

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Alexander_Bitcoin@Alexander_Bitcoin

7Mon.

@nielsblankestijn it’s not priced in!

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nielsblankestijn@nielsblankestijn

7Mon.

@Alexander_Bitcoin Are you stating that inclusion into index funds is not priced into the market? If so, could you explain why? It would imply that institutional investors and arbitrageurs are ignoring a predictable and significant opportunity, which goes against efficient market principles

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Alexander_Bitcoin@Alexander_Bitcoin

7Mon.

@nielsblankestijn the biggest gain $MSTR make with the FOMO of retail investors. Because more than 50 Percent of the market cap is in private hands.

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nielsblankestijn@nielsblankestijn

7Mon.

What is your take on the risk of decreased volatility of $BTC and it's effect on $MSTR ? Because I think a lot of (professional) investors are heavily into gamma-trading concerning MSTR. Buy the convertible bonds of MSTR and sell short to neutralize the delta-risk of MSTR. If this pool is significantly large, a lot of the investors simply don't care about the drift of the stock price, but only the volatility of BTC and MSTR. If the BTC becomes more stable because of more institutional investors, it could decrease the volatility of both BTC and MSTR. Once the volatility is signficantly lower, gamma trading becomes less profitable and investors likely convert their bonds into shares, sell and put downward pressure on the share price of MSTR. The financials of MSTR may become more strained than they already are, especially given its high leverage. I feel that many retail investors buy MSTR thinking it's purely a leveraged play on Bitcoin, but the dynamics at play are more complex. Retail investors are often more exposed to delta risk, whereas professional investors focus on gamma risk.

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Alexander_Bitcoin@Alexander_Bitcoin

7Mon.

@nielsblankestijn that might be a point, but $MSTR have through all these Bitcoin the possibilities to build another wealth generating business, together with there options game. I think there will happen things in future, we don’t know now.

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nielsblankestijn@nielsblankestijn

7Mon.

@Alexander_Bitcoin fair point, at least good luck in your journey 🚀

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