22H·

Rotating one my holy cows

I built a "Deep Rebalance" mode into my mathematical engine . I actually put a giant warning sign next to it because it goes against pure Buy & Hold. It runs on very strict rules: it only triggers if there is a massive >40 mean point gap between my holding and the alternative, and ONLY if they are in the exact same sector so my diversification stays intact.


Today, it triggered on one of my holy cows: $ACS (+0,84 %)


ACS is a 7x bagger for me. I trimmed it three weeks ago to buy DHL and Logista, but the algorithm is insisting on a full rotation out of ACS and into Vinci ( $DG (-0,3 %) ) based on this brutal comparison:


🇪🇸 ACS (Infrastructure)

Status: 🟣 WATCH (Quality 55 / Opportunity 15) - Avg Score 35

* The market has inflated it to a towering 36x P/E.

* My current yield sits at a miserable 1.5% after the massive run-up.

* Free Cash Flow: €2.3B


🇫🇷 Vinci (Infrastructure)

Status: 🟢 OPTIMAL (Quality 85 / Opportunity 85) - Avg Score 85

* Trades at a 14.4x P/E

* 4.0% starting yield, heavily shielded by a 22% FCF payout ratio.

* Free Cash Flow: +€8.0B (nearly 4x the cash generation of ACS).


The math is a no brainer. I keep my infrastructure exposure, lock in a 7x profit, cut my multiple in half, almost triple my yield, and buy a global monopoly generating massive cash.


the tax will be a brutal hit, tough

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3 Commentaires

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Very interesting, Vinci is certainly a company to watch and an almost sure investment. Let's see if it goes down a little more to get it cheaper.
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What Kind of research Tool are I using?
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@portfolio_maestro_4200 i use my own. You can check the backend in profile. Ill give you full access if you decide to log in. As a data provider i use EODHD.
If you have any more questions i am happy to answer :)
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