2Mo·

🏪 Jumbo (GRS282183003) - My detailed investment analysis

$BELA (-0,71 %)


First of all, the following text is AI-generated😅As a busy dad, it is much faster, but of course the information for everyone to check the numbers, data and facts on their own responsibility.

Here we go...


I'm currently taking a closer look at Jumbo, the Greek retailer of toys, household items & furniture - and the fundamentals are exciting.


🔹 Business model


Jumbo is the market leader in Greece and is expanding in South East Europe (Cyprus, Bulgaria, Romania). The company offers a very wide range of products from toys and household items to furniture and seasonal goods.

The business model is reminiscent of a mixture of IKEA + Toys'R'Us, but with a focus on low prices and a high proportion of own brands.


🔹 Growth & profitability


  • Turnover: 2024 at ~€1.15 billion, growth +6.3% compared to 2023
  • EBITDA 2024: approx. €424 million
  • Net income 2024: approx. €320 million
  • Gross margin: stable at ~55%
  • 👉 Jumbo thus demonstrates high and stable profitability - unusually strong for the retail sector



🔹 Balance sheet & debt


  • Cash and cash equivalents exceed all debt and lease liabilities
  • Surplus liquidity: ~€372 million
  • Debt/equity ratio practically at 0
  • 👉 Jumbo is therefore net debt-free and extremely solid financially.



🔹 Return on capital employed (ROCE)


Particularly important for me: How efficiently does Jumbo use its capital?


  • ROCE 2024: ~25 %
  • For comparison: Many European retailers are only at 8-12%
  • 👉 Jumbo therefore achieves an above-average return on capital, which speaks for a very efficient use of capital.



🔹 Valuation


  • P/E ratio (trailing): approx. 12.8-13×
  • EV/EBITDA: approx. 8.7×
  • The share has already gained >20% in 2024, but still looks moderately valued compared to the sector.
  • Dividend policy: regular, attractive distributions.



🔹 Moat (unique selling points)


Why is Jumbo so successful compared to the competition?


Lowest cost structure thanks to direct imports & own brands

Everything under one roof range: from toys to furniture, supplemented seasonally

Price leader in the region, high customer loyalty

Strong market position in Greece & South East Europe - little direct competition

Own real estate → lower fixed costs, substance in the balance sheet

Net cash balance sheet → high flexibility for expansion & dividends



This combination ensures stable margins and above-average returns on capital.


🔹 My assessment


Jumbo united:

✅ Solid growth

✅ Very high efficiency (ROCE ~25%)

✅ Debt-free balance sheet with net cash

✅ Moderate valuation despite share price increase

✅ A clear moat in the business model


To me, this looks like an exciting long-term investment story - value with a quality factor.


👉 Question for you:

What do you think of Jumbo? Do you already have the share on your radar or even in your portfolio?

1
5 Commentaires

I didn't know that Jumbo was on the stock exchange. However, I know the business (shopped there over 100 times) as I come from Eastern Europe. Competition in Eastern Europe < 0.

All the stores are full. You can't compare it to Ikea, as there is hardly any furniture on offer. By comparison, woolworth, tedi etc. are now just large stores (like Metro).

Go on the watch list.
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@wealth_builder_568 Mega - thanks for your addition!
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@wealth_builder_568 Meal - and already bought or what is the current situation? I have included Jumbo in my savings plan and will build up the position over the next few years!
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Jumbo also reminds me a bit of $WSM which I have had in my portfolio for some time and which has done very well since then...
I look forward to your comments
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@RealMichaelScott Wouldn't that be a value for you? Are you familiar with it or have you used it before?
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