2J·

Brookfield Renewable (BEPC): Down 22% in my backtest; goes ex-dividend tomorrow

Hard Data $BEPC (-0,02 %) :

  • Forward yield: 4.7%
  • Quality 85 / Opportunity 75 → OPTIMAL
  • Income: Record FFO, ~90% of cash flows from long-term leases


The downside:

  • This is my worst-performing position in the backtest: -22% since March
  • Debt/EBITDA 5.4x (my limit is 3.0x)
  • GAAP payout ratio 108% (accounting losses distort this figure)


Why it’s OPTIMAL: It’s infrastructure; it’s valued by P/FFO, not P/E. The debt is project-level and non-recourse.

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