3Sem.·

TLT Short Trade, Part 2

The first time, it paid for a tank of gas (no, I don't have a car or a lawn mower).


Now I'm trying to ride out the dip and catch the next upswing. Let's go, Mr. Warsh!


The correct purchase price is €120.


(Don’t try this at home!)

17.09
3 681,15 €
11
7 Commentaires

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Bet on a collapse in U.S. bond prices—for example, due to spikes in inflation, interest rate hikes, or concerns about U.S. national debt. It could work! Maybe not a bad move.
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3Sem.
@schlimmschlimm The bet is really just a short-term hedge. Your reasoning is just the general context for the higher probability.

Specifically, though, I’m betting on a swift adjustment of long-term interest rates in line with the rise in medium-term rates over the last few days. Maybe the discussion about the Trump “dividend” will escalate? 😉
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@Epi Okay, yeah, I get it—that's something I hadn't thought of.
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Trump would be proud of you. 👍
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3Sem.
@Olli68 Trump wants falling interest rates. The market wants rising interest rates.

In fact: The smartest and most mentally stable president of all time would be proud of me! 💪 🍊
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2Sem.
@HenningtonGlobal Not at all. It’s more of a hedge against fear. And it’s a small position—just 0.5% of the portfolio.
Just for fun: it’s a kind of exercise in case interest rates spike. Until then, I want to see how these ETFs perform in the market.
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