6J·

40 years of the S&P 500: the only lesson you need

attachment

The most important rule on the stock market is simple:

The market punishes impatience and rewards perseverance.


Take a look at the last 40 years in the chart:

- 31 years were "green" (positive).

- Only 9 years were "red" (negative).


That's a clear message: the odds are in your favor in the long term if you stick with it!


The strongest force is your staying

It didn't matter what was going on in the world:

- Wars

- Recessions

- High inflation

- Speculative bubbles

- Pandemics


The line always went up in the end - for all those who stayed invested.


Those who sold in panic missed the inevitable recovery afterwards.


What you really need to do:

You don't have to try to find the perfect time for buying or selling (market timing). That is almost impossible.


All you have to do is hold out longer than everyone else trying to time the market.


The boring path to success


An index fund like $SPY (+1,29 %) (which tracks the S&P 500) may feel "boring". And that's a good thing!


Because: "boring" has made more millionaires than any hype, quick tip or risky gamble ever could.


The S&P 500 is the engine of the world's largest economy. Trust in this engine, stay invested and let time work for you.


Bottom line: Time in the market beats timing the market.


My Youtube channel for more stock analysis: www.youtube.com/@Verstehdieaktie

12
6 Commentaires

Does it make sense to reduce an all world etf and shift into the S&P 500, i.e. less diversification but presumably also more return?
image de profil
@Der_Weg_mit_Aktien *Past performance is no indication for future results.

Unfortunately, nobody knows that. I mostly invest in individual stocks instead of ETFs. With the increasing depreciation of the USD, partly due to over-indebtedness, I have no desire to hold the entire S&P, or too much USD, in my portfolio.

Edit: FYI, I am around 40% invested in the USA/USD.
1
image de profil
@Der_Weg_mit_Aktien if you can cope with the fact that your tech + USA share is large, then by all means
image de profil
@Der_Weg_mit_Aktien Around 70% of the MSCI World is made up of US equities, which are often also represented in the S&P 500. So I recommend the S&P 500 or the NASDAQ 100 plus the All World to maximize returns
image de profil
@Der_Weg_mit_Aktien if you want maximum return but also maximum risk then buy the S&P 500 Information Technology ETF. P.S.: No financial advice but source Trust me Bro 😉
1
image de profil
I agree 100% with the statement: "Time in the market beats the timing of the market", I agree 100%. However, the figures are somewhat misleading if you are left with an average of only 7% p.a. after adjusting for inflation. And you still have to deduct taxes and costs.
Participez à la conversation