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The wine and alcohol trade increases during times of crisis

$HAW (+2,65 %)

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Hawesko currently appears to be fairly to cheaply valued, with a solid dividend yield but weak price momentum and only moderate operating growth.

The market is pricing the stock relatively conservatively, with a forward P/E ratio of 10.39 and an EV/EBIT ratio of 13.93.


Earnings and EBIT

Hawesko preliminarily reported revenue of 637 million euros and EBIT of 32 million euros for 2024, and described itself in February 2025 as “more resilient than the overall market.”

For the first quarter of 2026, the company reported an increase in earnings and margins.

GuruFocus reports an operating margin of 3.01 percent, a net margin of 1.53 percent, and an EBIT/EBITDA profile for Hawesko that appears solid overall but not outstanding.


Dividend

For 2025, the annual shareholders’ meeting approved a dividend of 1.30 euros per share; for 2026, a dividend of 1.00 euros per share was announced, according to the report.

This corresponds to an attractive yield, but the payout does not appear particularly comfortable given a TTM payout ratio of 106.02 percent.

The dividend history also shows recent declines rather than growth.


Price and Momentum

The 52-week range was most recently between 22.3 and 31.6 euros; the 20-day SMA stood at 24.24 euros.

The 12-1-month momentum stands at -16.38 percent, indicating a weak price trend.

The stock is therefore not expensive from a fundamental perspective, but is clearly under pressure in the market.


Fair Value

The model signals point more toward a discount than an overvaluation: Price/GF Value at 0.67 and Price/DCF (FCF-based) at 0.40 are clearly below 1.0.

At the same time, the forward P/E ratio of 10.39 is at a level that seems quite reasonable for a stable dividend stock.

This results in a fair value that is slightly undervalued, provided Hawesko stabilizes its margins and improves its earnings growth.


Overall Assessment

Hawesko is fundamentally sound but not a growth star: its valuation and dividend appear attractive, while its earnings and share price momentum are rather subdued. My conclusion would be: valued at a level that is fair to slightly undervalued, with a good dividend profile but limited momentum and only a moderate operating margin.

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4 Commentaires

I was in the Allgäu last week, and every other brewery I stopped at was permanently closed. Things aren't going so well anymore.
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@Musikerie You should have skipped the first one—then you would have been in the right rhythm 😂
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The German federal government plans to raise the tax on sparkling wine by 20 percent starting January 1, 2027. For a standard 0.75-liter bottle of sparkling wine or champagne, this means a tax increase from 1.02 euros to about 1.22 euros net, which, including sales tax, will raise the price by about 24 cents per bottle.The increase is part of a supplementary budget bill that affects not only sparkling wine but also spirits (such as schnapps or vodka) and alcopops. Beer and wine are not affected by this tax increase. There is already political opposition to the plan. The decision is not yet final, as the Ministry of Finance’s draft bill is currently being debated in the Bundestag and the Union has announced its opposition. Would you like to know exactly what’s in the draft bill, or do you need an overview of which other alcohol and sugar taxes are also set to change?Sparkling Wine Tax 2027: A Tax with a Curious History—and Why... July 6, 2026 — Starting in 2027, sparkling wine will become more expensive. The federal government is raising the tax on sparkling wine as well as the alcohol tax on spirits by 20 percent. For a 0.75-liter bottle of sparkling wine...The Wine Retailers: Germany Raises Sparkling Wine Tax by 24 Cents...June 29, 2026 — Germany raises sparkling wine tax by 24 cents per bottle Starting in 2027, the tax on sparkling wine and other sparkling beverages in Germany, as well as the tax on spirits, will increase by 20...Instagram·weinplusTax on spirits, sparkling wine, and alcopops set to rise in 2027 July 2, 2026 — The Federal Ministry of Finance plans to increase taxes on certain alcoholic beverages effective January 1, 2027. A spokesperson confirmed that a corresponding...DeutschlandfunkSparkling wine tax: Sekt, champagne, and Prosecco...July 7, 2026 — Sparkling wine tax to rise starting in 2027: Why Sekt will become more expensive in the future! The federal government plans to raise the sparkling wine tax by 20 percent. This includes all...schaumweinmagazinAlcohol tax expected to rise by 20 percent in 2027 — top agrar July 19, 2026 — The Federal Cabinet plans to impose a 20 percent increase in excise taxes on spirits, Sekt, sparkling wine, and alcopops starting January 1, 2027. However, the accompanying budget bill is... top agrar “Very Irritated” – CDU/CSU opposes sparkling wine tax hike - WELT July 17, 2026 — The federal government plans to increase taxes on alcoholic beverages such as spirits, sparkling wines, and alcopops by 20 percent effective January 1, 2027. But that...WELTTaxes on schnapps and sparkling wine set to riseJuly 6, 2026 — Taxes on schnapps and sparkling wine are set to rise. On July 6, 2027, taxes on alcohol are set to increase. In addition to taxes on sparkling wines, taxes on...meininger.de 0:53 🥂

Will prices for alcohol and soft drinks rise soon? The background is... Instagram·Frankfurter Allgemeine


In addition, I’m seeing increased demand for non-alcoholic alternatives in my day-to-day business
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