Hedge funds are currently significantly increasing their long positions on $IOIL00 (-0,43ย %)as the conflict between Israel and Iran continues. Despite the risks, no serious disruption in oil supplies has yet been reported. However, Israel's latest attacks on Iranian nuclear facilities and Iran's counter-attacks are keeping the market tense. The USA has so far been reluctant to intervene directly, but this may change.
๐ฒ๐รค๐๐๐๐๐พ๐ ๐ ๐๐๐๐๐พ๐ ๐บ๐ ๐ซ๐๐๐ ๐ฏ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐พ๐ ๐๐ ๐ก๐๐พ๐๐ ๐๐พ๐๐ ๐ฎ๐๐๐๐ป๐พ๐ 2023, ๐บ๐๐ฟ๐๐๐๐๐ฝ ๐ฝ๐พ๐พ๐ ๐ค๐๐๐บ๐ ๐บ๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐ผ๐๐พ๐ ๐จ๐๐บ๐ ๐๐๐ฝ ๐จ๐๐๐บ๐พ๐ .
I would like to briefly explain why it looks like the USA will take part in the war.
Two B2 bombers took off today (June 21) from Whiteman Air Force Base in Missouri. After takeoff, the bombers were refueled in the air over Kansas by KC-135/KC-46 tanker aircraft. It can be assumed that the B2 bombers took off with maximum weapons load and were therefore refueled in the air. If no immediate attack had been planned, the ammunition could have been logistically transferred to bases such as Guam or Diego Garcia to avoid unnecessary weight.
๐ช๐ข-46 ๐ป๐พ๐๐บ๐๐ ๐ฝ๐พ๐ ๐ก2 ๐ก๐๐๐ป๐พ๐
If the B2 bombers stay on course, they would reach their target in Iran a few hours before US futures open. If this were to happen wouldthen you can expect a press conference from the Traump Admin. beforehand to calm the futures.
In recent days, several KC-135s and KC-46s have also been deployed to strategic US bases such as Guam, Diego Garcia, the Middle East, Europe and the Pacific. This deployment is no coincidence, but has been deliberately chosen so that the bombers can be refueled at any level of their possible deployment.
๐ช๐ข-135 ๐๐๐ฝ ๐ช๐ข-46
What is particularly striking is that the bombers did not take off from Diego Garcia, but from Whiteman AFB. Why? Because, according to the lease agreement, the USA would have to inform Mauritius in the event of an attack from Diego Garcia, which would jeopardize secrecy. Launching from the USA avoids this obligation. What's more, B2 is the only aircraft that can carry the GBU-57, i.e. the bunker buster.
The contract offers the UK and the US exclusive rights of use and full operational control of the military base for at least 99 years, with an option to extend for a further 40 years. The United Kingdom will pay Mauritius an annual lease of 101 million pounds.
