3J·

🚀 Weekly report week 3: The "Great Rotation" - Strategic pivot to success

Status: Active |

Starting capital: DKK 5,000 |

Deposit value: ~DKK 6,255

Performance:
+25,1 %


🏁 The weekly summary: discipline beats market noise


Week 3 was the toughest test to date for our momentum portfolio. While the overall market (S&P 500, DAX) suffered from AI investment fears, we completed the decisive pivot. We consistently divested ourselves of the sluggish blue chips and invested our capital in stocks with real relative strength (RS) reallocated.


The highlight: through strict stop management (especially with Munich Re), we have saved capital that other investors have simply burned this week.

📊 The current "RS-Sniper" portfolio

Stock
Sector
Status
Momentum
Performance (week)


Centene Corp $CNC (+0,77 %) US Healthcare 🟢 New 92/100 +25% (Sector Leader)

Circus SE $CA1 (-4,18 %) Robotics / AI 🟢 New 88/100 +1.2% (bottoming out)

Riley Exploration $REPX (+1,3 %) US-Energy 🟢 New 85/100 +1.6% (Value-RS)


🔍 Deep Dive: The new leaders (AOK analysis)


1st Centene Corp (CNC) - The healthcare breakout


  • What they do: US market leader for government-sponsored healthcare programs (Medicaid/Medicare).
  • Key Figures: P/E ~15.7 | P/S ~0.13 | Q1-EPS: 3,37 $ (Beat by 56 %!).
  • Formula check: Core Quality Score > 30 (due to massive earnings beat).
  • Outlook: Benefits from sector rotation away from tech towards stable cash flows.
  • Bargain Hunter Zone: Entry below $52.00.


2 Circus SE (CA1) - German Engineering & AI

  • What they do: AI-driven robotic solutions for restaurant scaling.
  • Formula check: Revenue Growth > 80% (scales even).
  • Chart check: Just breaking out of a month-long bottom. Relative strength to the DAX is massively positive.
  • Viability: High risk (small cap), but enormous leverage if successful.


3 Riley Exploration Permian (REPX) - The Cash Machine

  • What they do: Highly efficient oil production with a focus on shareholder value.
  • Key Figures: P/E RATIO 4.8 | Div. yield 4.37 (Meets our 3.5% filter ✅).
  • Formula check: Cash flow quality 1A - FCF yield is in double digits.
  • Competition: Significantly more profitable than the oil majors on a price basis.


🛡️ The lesson of the week: "The stop-loss victory"


A special highlight for the forum: We have Munich Re at 526 € via a stop loss. The price then slipped to 504 € .


  • Lesson learned: A stop loss is not a mistake, but the insurance that saves us the capital to invest in new RS leaders such as Centene to invest in new RS leaders like Centene. Those who "fall in love" with shares lose. Those who follow numbers and momentum win.

🏁 Strategy for week 4 (from May 04)


Bonesupport (SE) Watch: After the shakeout, we look for the re-entry above SEK 240.

Stop Management: Circus SE is hedged to breakeven at €8.50.

Cash position: We keep a small buffer (~250 DKK) to strike immediately on new RS signals in the Scandinavian market.

attachment


Trade log week 3 (27.04. - 01.05.2026)


  • Tuesday (28.04.): The big exit (stop-loss wave)
  • 🏁 Sell: Microsoft (MSFT) @ ~$418.00
  • 🏁 Sell: Siemens Energy (ENR) @ ~$174.00
  • 🏁 Sale: Volvo B (VOLV-B) @ ~278,00 SEK
  • Status: 100% cash (securing profits after market weakness).


  • Wednesday (29/04): Cautious re-entry
  • 🛒 Buy: Munich Re (MUV2) - 1 share @ €544.20
  • 🛒 Buy: Novo Nordisk (NOVO-B) - 9 shares @ DKK 261.00


  • Thursday (30.04.): Strategy pivot & mid-cap sniper
  • 🏁 Sell (SL): Munich Re @ € 526.00 (rescue stop!)
  • 🏁 Sell (SL): Novo Nordisk @ DKK 256.00
  • 🛒 Buy: Circus SE (CA1) - 30 shares @ €8.15
  • 🛒 Buy: Bonesupport (BONEX) - 10 shares @ 244,00 SEK
  • 🏁 Sell (SL): Bonesupport @ 231,00 SEK (Direct Shakeout)


  • Friday (01.05.): US expansion (Europe holiday)
  • 🛒 Buy: Centene Corp (CNC) - 8 shares @ $53.79$
  • 🛒 Buy: Riley Exploration (REPX) - 6 shares @ $35.98$



Motto for next week: Don't be afraid of the second tier. Where the analysts aren't looking is where the biggest RS opportunities are right now.

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18 Commentaires

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@Dividendenopi now $BONEX should rise again
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@Tenbagger2024 we will see, the 200 line at 21.52 should be overcome
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@Dividendenopi Miss Prompt firmly believes in it
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@Tenbagger2024 let's see 😬
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@Raketentoni Mr. Prompt had nothing more to say about my last performances. I was already worried about him
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@Tenbagger2024 no, I don't have much time at the moment. Tonight we are having a barbecue at home with 20 people 🙃 from next week it will be better again. I promise
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@Raketentoni not true, 22 people.... @Tenbagger2024 and I are on the road and heading straight for the Danish border 😂😂😉
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@Raketentoni that sounds good. barbecuing is a nice thought, what do you drink with it in the north?
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@Tenbagger2024 @Dividendenopi and look you discovered the stock long before Miss Prompt, I think you would make a good team
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@Dividendenopi and who is feeding the animals tonight 😂
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Voir toutes les 4 autres réponses
How was the performance this week? 😊 And I don't know if I've already asked, but are you planning to start a wikifolio?
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@valentin28 I have posted a weekly summary. I have an investable wikifolio but I will not open a new one
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@Raketentoni what is the name of your wiki?
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