22H·

Mercosur trade agreement

Today, after 25 years of negotiations, the EU signed the free trade agreement with the Mercosur countries of South America: Brazil, Argentina, Uruguay and Paraguay. With 700 million inhabitants, this will be the largest free trade zone in the world.

A great success for the rules-based world order as a counterpoint to the strengthening autocracies!


Before we get sentimental, here is a suggestion for those who also want to profit from the economic benefits:


There is no special Mercosur ETF. So you have to tinker. Since almost 70-80% of Mercosur's GDP is generated in Brazil, you can cover this part with the MSCI Brazil $EWZ (+0,66 %) cover this part.

The remaining countries are not yet emerging markets, but frontier markets. They can be covered with $DX2Z (+0,15 %) can be mapped. Argentina and Uruguay are relatively highly weighted with a total of 25%.


So if you want to benefit from the agreement, you could build up a medium-term Mercosur position with 80% MSCI Brazil and 20% frontier markets.


I myself am sticking to my strategies, but there are some tactical ETF investors among you. The combination could be interesting for them.


Good luck!

Your Epi


https://www.n-tv.de/wirtschaft/Weg-fuer-Mercosur-Handelsabkommen-ist-frei-id30221473.html

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18 Commentaires

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Top 5 stocks for potentially highest return from the Mercosur agreement (2026/27)
🥇 1) JBS S.A. (B3: JBSS3 / NYSE: JBSAY)
Sector: Agricultural/meat processing (largest producer worldwide)
Why this choice?
- The EU-Mercosur deal enables significantly reduced tariffs for Brazilian meat to Europe - EU import quotas increase significantly.
- JBS already exports to Europe (~7% of sales) and could double its share there.
Opportunities: Massive sales increases via export growth; scalable global meat market.

🥈 2) Volkswagen AG (XETR: VOW3)
Sector: Automotive
Why this choice?
- The deal eliminates up to 35% tariffs on vehicles and vehicle parts in Mercosur markets - a major competitive advantage for VW & Co.
- Brazil & Argentina are important export and growth regions for European cars.
Opportunities: Larger market shares, stronger presence in South America, long-term growth potential.

🥉 3) BASF SE (XETR: BAS)
Sector: Chemicals
Why this choice?
- Chemicals/pharmaceuticals are part of the EU's export strength to Mercosur - tariffs are significantly reduced.
- BASF already has a strong presence in Brazil, so benefits twice over from improved market access.
Opportunities: More stable demand, greater presence in dynamic growth markets.

🥉 4) Stellantis N.V. (EPA: STLA)
Industry: Automotive (broad global presence incl. South America)
Why this choice?
- Strong position in Argentina & Brazil; can benefit from trade agreement as tariffs on EU products fall and South American production can export more easily to EU
- Diversified portfolio and established network in Mercosur.
Opportunities: Strengthen supply chain and cross-border sales.

🥉 5) Brasil Foods - BRF S.A. (B3: BRFS3)
Sector: Food/Agro products
Why this choice?
- Strong South American agricultural player that should benefit from reduced tariffs and increased EU market access - similar to JBS but with a different product mix.
Opportunities: Expansion potential in the EU, higher income from protein and food exports.


This is not investment advice!
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I'll soon be able to afford a visit to the Argentinian steakhouse every month again!
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@Multibagger That sounds really good! 🙂
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Frontier markets are very interesting anyway and should be considered for a globally diversified thesis portfolio... With $MELI it might also be possible to profit from the agreement 🤪
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@Iwamoto Yes, frontier markets are usually neglected.
I don't know which individual companies will benefit most from the agreement. I'm happy to leave that job to our equity experts!
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@Iwamoto Mercado Libre is primarily a trading platform. It is possible that they get a crumb of the trade.
But if you are interested in the
cream pieces.
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Positive news at last
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@Danicx13 I thought so too. About time!
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I wonder what this means for me as an end consumer?
Food or animal products that do not meet our standards (e.g. animal welfare, pesticides) and at the same time destroy our agriculture because (fortunately) certain standards have to be met.
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@Anderle I think we will find out exactly from the media in the coming days and weeks.
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@Epi For sure. I just fear that our European agriculture will suffer massively, as it will simply not be able to remain competitive with South America in terms of price due to our important and also correct quality standards.
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@Anderle I think solutions have been found for this. That was one of the main points of contention.
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I took a look out of curiosity. The composition makes me a little suspicious: https://etf.dws.com/de-at/LU0328476410-s-p-select-frontier-swap-ucits-etf-1c/
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@Isus01010 Yes, the stated composition makes no sense at all. I've seen something like that a few times. It probably has to do with the nature of the swap. The securities listed are apparently only the collateral for the derivatives on the frontier markets. 👍
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I hope this will boost trade / exports.
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@Panda0404 Well, in the longer term, I suppose. At the moment, Germany is simply standing in its own way - disciplined and efficient.

Our government and bureaucracy will find ways to ensure that nobody in Germany benefits from the agreement. 🥶
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All in Brazil Blue 🔵 Chips
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Cool, thanks. $EWZ does indeed look pretty attractive.
I also think the agreement is right and important. Irrespective of that, I also find the South Americans simply likeable.
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