4J
Do a 50- or 100-year comparison! 😅
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2424
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@Epi Since I won't live that long, I'm more interested in how gold will perform against the S&P500 over the next 25 years.
For the reasons mentioned above, I see a clear advantage for gold ... and will continue to do so 😉
For the reasons mentioned above, I see a clear advantage for gold ... and will continue to do so 😉
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•4J
@Part_Time_Joe Well, look for the charts showing the 25 years after a 25-year boom in gold! 😅
Or leave it and be surprised by the disadvantages of the recency bias! 😏
Or leave it and be surprised by the disadvantages of the recency bias! 😏
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•@Epi You are free not to invest in gold... I do and have done very well with it. 👍🏼
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•4J
@Part_Time_Joe Haha, if you only knew how much gold I have in my portfolio! 😂
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@Part_Time_Joe You can also simply use any other 25-year period, 1995-2020 or whatever. It's a nice gimmick to push the comparison period to 2 points in time that are as unrepresentative as possible, but to base your future return expectations on this... you just have to want to.
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•@geht-nicht I don't extrapolate from past performance to future performance. Who does that?
I have already written the reasons why I believe that gold will also outperform in the future
I have already written the reasons why I believe that gold will also outperform in the future
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@Epi Why do you hold gold if you think it will underperform? What is the point?
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4J
@Part_Time_Joe I hold gold because I was convinced in 2018 that it would outperform. I bought more until 2022 and have been holding since then. I am no longer convinced that it will outperform in the next 10 years.
Why? My price target of USD 4500 has almost been reached. This is the result of the last cycles.
Why? My price target of USD 4500 has almost been reached. This is the result of the last cycles.
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11
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@Part_Time_Joe that may be, but a 25-year comparison of the last 25 years is not really meaningful for the next 25 years. You would still have to use a longer period of time as there have always been different periods/cycles. Who says that the next 25 years will not be the same as the last 25 years before 2000?
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@BamBamInvest
Summary of average annual returns
the last 50 years (approx. 1975-2025)
- S&P 500: approx. 9-11% per year (total return).
- Gold: approx. 6-8 % per year (price return).
This does not mean that gold will perform worse over the next 25 years; it would have been interesting to include a few more 25-year periods as well ✌️
Summary of average annual returns
the last 50 years (approx. 1975-2025)
- S&P 500: approx. 9-11% per year (total return).
- Gold: approx. 6-8 % per year (price return).
This does not mean that gold will perform worse over the next 25 years; it would have been interesting to include a few more 25-year periods as well ✌️
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11
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