Earnings next week (11.11 - 15.11)
Occidental Action Forum
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33Detailed oil price analysis 🛢️⛽️
Oil demand
China, Europe & USA
Slowing momentum
Peak in fuel demand
Rising production capacities
Impending oversupply
OPEC+
#FinX
#Aktien
#Öl
#Benzin
$SHEL (-1,61 %)
$GB00B03MM408
$RDS.A
$BP. (-1,72 %)
$XOM (+0,74 %)
$CVX (+0,94 %)
$SLB (+0,56 %)
$OXY (-0,67 %)
$APA (-0,73 %)
$TTE (-2,14 %)
$ENI (-0,72 %)
$GAZP
And what influence hydrogen has on the demand for oil.
I have also been busy selling stocks today, but not the defense stocks (This was originally the plan, hence the survey in the morning, but they are simply very well positioned fundamentally and still have a lot of potential). Instead, I disposed of the following candidates:
$EPR (+1,76 %) +10,7%
$BXP (+1,13 %) +25,46%
$STAG (+0,87 %) -0,44%
I have now gone from the initial 77 positions down to 70. 🫡
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Part of the capital was reinvested in$OXY (-0,67 %) reinvested (subsequent purchase)
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Here is the original post with the 77 positions. However, I think you can already see the current portfolio. 😇
🥃 New position opened.
Occidental Petroleum ($OXY (-0,67 %) ) has been on my list for some time, partly because Warren Buffett has been buying shares for about 2 years and now owns almost 30% of the company. He has also said that he would like to increase his stake to up to 50%.
It is also interesting that Li Lu, who is regarded as an extremely talented investor, is now also investing in Occidental. Li Lu made a name for himself when, during his studies in the USA, he somehow made a million dollars with his student loans on the stock market. He later managed money for Charlie Munger, Buffett's long-time business partner, among others, for decades, particularly in Asian markets. He is regarded as someone who only invests in companies that he really believes in and really holds them as a long-term investor. The fact that he is now backing Occidental is therefore a strong sign.
At the moment, the majority of Occidental's cash flow is being used to reduce its high level of debt. The company has the highest debt among the major oil and gas companies, but this is scheduled to be significantly reduced by the end of 2025 or 2026. Once this has been achieved, around 10% of the cash flow could flow directly to shareholders through dividends and share buybacks.
There is also an exciting aspect to Occidental: the company is a leader in the field of carbon capture, utilization and storage (CCUS). Occidental is one of the few companies that is actively involved in the development of technologies to combat climate change. They are focusing on "Direct Air Capture", a technology designed to remove carbon dioxide directly from the atmosphere. This CO2 can either be stored or reused for industrial purposes.
Of course, I don't know exactly how all this is supposed to work, but I've invested some time that I don't really have at the moment and tried to get as much of an overview as possible.
In any case, Occidental is planning to build the world's largest "direct air capture plant" 😅 in the USA, with the aim of removing millions of tons of CO2 every year. This technology could play a decisive role in reducing greenhouse gases in the long term.
Interestingly, OXY can also use the captured CO2 for enhanced oil recovery, which allows the company to make double use of it: they improve their oil production and contribute to reducing CO2 at the same time.
Many investors have not yet fully recognized this future potential of the CO2 business, but it could prove to be an important growth driver for Occidental in the coming years.
For dividend hunters, the current dividend yield of approx. 1,55% perhaps a little low, as the company only pays out around 20% of its profits. However, significantly more could flow back to shareholders in the future once the debt has been reduced. (e.g. through buybacks, which I particularly like! 🙌)
I am curious about your opinion, I have been talking about Occidental in my circles for the last few days and surprisingly I have heard from many that they are also invested or at least know someone/community's who are also talking about it.
- GERIT 🐅
I think I will sell the following titles:
These stocks are very heavily represented in the MSCI World. This reduces cluster risk and frees up capital for speculative growth stocks.
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The REITs remain for the time being as they have positive momentum and will benefit strongly from future interest rate cuts.
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Flying out as I don't understand the industry well enough.
$HIMS (-0,18 %) remains, on the other hand.
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Defensive stocks are out, as no excess return is to be expected here.
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$AMD (-0,12 %) and $INTC (+0,53 %) These are my turnaround candidates, as soon as this is completed, they are out
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The following titles are also on the hit list:
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What do the more experienced among you say? Are there any titles on my list that are worth keeping? Do you see any gross misjudgments? Do you have any suggestions for improvement?
Thanks in advance.
Hey everyone,
I'm currently facing the challenge of reducing my portfolio from 77 to a maximum of 30 shares in order to get a better overview and focus my strategy. But I'm not sure how best to proceed.
Should I:
- Sell the stocks that have done badly as they are obviously not performing well?
- Or should I rather sell the ones that have performed best in order to take profits before things go downhill?
- Or simply sell the 40 smallest positions? But there are also many interesting stocks in there that might be worth expanding.
- Or simply sell everything that is heavily weighted in the MSCI World and thus reduce the cluster risk?
Perhaps there is a better approach? What do you look for when reducing your positions? Diversification, dividend yield, or simply the size of the individual positions in relation to the overall portfolio? I look forward to your opinions and tips!
Thanks in advance!
The same applies to the healthcare sector. If you don't understand the established players, in what constellation do you understand those that are difficult to assess anyway? Defensive stocks are out ... because they are defensive? And AMD is not a "turnaround candidate" - you simply bought far too expensively.
All in all, it gives the impression that you don't really understand individual stocks, i.e. which stocks to buy why and how to value the companies in the first place. I also don't know if you're interested in learning, otherwise you should probably just stick to ETFs (I'm very reluctant to recommend that).
But what it shouldn't be, at least, is that you look at individual stocks as something where you pick the ones that tell a nice story in the hope that you're going to beat the market big time.
📣 All these stocks hit new 52 WEEK LOWS at some point today
📣 All these stocks hit new 52 WEEK LOWS at some point today
Boeing $BA (+1,21 %)
Chevron $CVX (+0,94 %)
Occidental $OXY (-0,67 %)
Mobileye $MBLY
Bath & Body Works $BBWI (-4,3 %)
Franklin Resources $BEN (-0,75 %)
Cleveland Cliffs $CLF (-3,4 %)
Conoco $COP (+0,01 %)
Coterra $CTRA (+0,97 %)
Devon Energy $DVN (+0,89 %)
Estee Lauder $EL (-3,08 %)
Equinor $EQNR (+0,29 %)
GlobalFoundries $GFS (-2,07 %)
Halliburton $HAL (-0,29 %)
Hess $HES
Nucor $NUE (-0,61 %)
Mosaic $MOS
Schlumberger $SLB (+0,56 %)
Stellantis $STLAM (-3,56 %)
Top Golf $MODG (-1,9 %)
Dave & Bysters $PLAY
I was stopped out on my last Oxy purchase. Now, 1 floor below, another initial purchase, but this time without a stop.
Divergences on the daily and on the 4h time frame.
Speculation on a 2nd wave of inflation like in the 70s. (Brent/WTI price targets 250$)
Warren Buffett recently made headlines by selling numerous shares in his largest holdings, Apple and the Bank of Americasignificantly. Some even suspect that the Oracle of Omaha may have predicted the crash that really got rolling on August 6.
What is striking, however, is that the old stock market master made a strong move on another share during this period. Could it possibly be his secret strategy that he is now relying on in turbulent times? And is it worthwhile for you to get in?
The share in question is the energy company Occidental Petroleum
$OXY (-0,67 %) . A look at the Bloomberg database shows that Warren Buffett bought more than seven million new shares in the company according to a filing on June 17. Not only that: he even bought on nine consecutive days in June. According to CNBC, Buffett bought Occidental shares every trading day from June 5 to June 17. The investor is said to have increased his stake in the company to almost 29%.
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