Goldman Sachs
$GS (+3,5 %) now estimates the probability of a 🇺🇸 recession in the next 12 months to 25%compared to 15% previously.

"Although we now think the risks are slightly higher than the historical unconditional 12-month average probability of around 15%, we still see recession risk as limited as the data still looks good overall and we don't see any major financial imbalances."