1Année·

Hello everyone. I've been working on my first stock analysis for hours now, comparing the CEP services with each other, and it's really hard to figure out which company is the best. $FDX (+1,32 %) FedEx has $UPS (-0,74 %) as the market leader, but FedEx's earnings per share are also higher than those of UPS. However, FedEx's equity ratio has always remained stable, while UPS has only been able to reduce its debt ratio for two years. In terms of dividends, FedEx did not raise its dividend from 2019 to 2021, which is the case with UPS. FedEx is also not as well represented in Europe as UPS. The P/E ratio is more attractive at FedEx, but the share is currently overvalued according to the P/B ratio. However, the takeover of TNT means that FedEx can now secure even more market share.

As you can see, I am completely overwhelmed by so many figures. Then there is $DHL (+0,58 %) which should not be underestimated. But that's somehow too much for me😅 How do you do your analysis? What key figures do you look at?

16 Commentaires

Stulle 🥪@Stullen-Portfolio

1Année

I'm so glad that people with above-average intelligence have developed ETFs and gotten them approved for people with average intelligence like me. 💫⚜️🌐

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Schweizer_Investor@Alumdria

1Année

@Stullen-Portfolio ETFs are practical but also boring. I like to look at individual companies, but as a beginner it's not easy to see what you have to look at😉

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Stulle 🥪@Stullen-Portfolio

1Année

@Alumdria
Okidoki...as long as the individual stocks don't kill too much of the return in addition to the boredom and it contributes to your satisfaction, then go for it 💫✌️

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Sansebastian@Sansebastian

1Année

Company 4: DSV ;-)

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GeldmitKopf@cashwithhead

1Année

You should also consider how much of the profit is distributed. Especially for capital-intensive companies, a high payout ratio for the rising div but then too few reserves for capital efficiency would be a negative sign

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Schweizer_Investor@Alumdria

1Année

@cashwithhead Thanks for the tip. Where is the best place to find such key figures? I only know finanzen.ch and Marketscreener 😄

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GeldmitKopf@cashwithhead

1Année

@Alumdria div per share/ earnings per share. You probably have to pay at investing.com, for example, or calculate it yourself. Most of it is not that difficult to calculate, the problem is rather to find what to calculate. Maybe I can find some ratios in my lecture notes and send them to you. Otherwise googling dat is faster anyway and with explanations.

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GeldmitKopf@cashwithhead

1Année

@cashwithhead good search AI is like perplexity also facilitate the search but beware they are sometimes wrong and are very often wrong if you want to calculate via the AI.

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Kevin E.@KevinE

1Année

I personally like to watch (among other things):

1. how high is the free cash flow?
2. if dividends: what is the payout ratio?
3. what is the historical valuation (sales and earnings multiple)?
4. what is the outlook for expected sales and earnings over the next 24 months? (I rarely consider more than 24 months to be reasonable, just as the weather forecast is hardly reliable for more than 72 hours)

For the following reason: ultimately it always comes down to whether and how much a company earns. Everything else is of secondary importance in the long term.

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Homer@Simpson

1Année

Why do you want to invest in logistics? The return on investment is poor and everything has so many employees who cause massive costs 🤔
You'd better think again.
And if you do, would you rather invest in $UNP?

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Schweizer_Investor@Alumdria

1Année

@Simpson I was thinking because more and more parcels are being transported and logistics will increase even more in the future.

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Homer@Simpson

1Année

@Alumdria problem is it is hard to find employees who want to do the job, in Germany it is not worth starting as a father of 3 children for 16€ an hour at DHL 😂 with citizen's money you have just as much money you don't need to worry about rent increases and have no stress 😂

but back to logistics, with UPS and FedEx there should be better margins because most business customers are supplied, with DHL rather 80% private and cost-intensive. In addition, Amazon is also delivering more and more itself, but actually less of a problem with DHL, we don't have the people to handle it all anyway and Temu is getting more and more insane how much junk people order 😂

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Schweizer_Investor@Alumdria

1Année

@Simpson You're right. It's a highly competitive market. Maybe I'd better take a look at what else is out there. I still have time until payday on Friday. Maybe $MCD. Let's see what the figures are like there. I've heard that it's slowly becoming a good place to start😁

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GeldmitKopf@cashwithhead

1Année

@Alumdria well, logistics is also the industry where automation could save an incredible amount of money and I mean the robots in logistics centers are only getting better every year

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Schweizer_Investor@Alumdria

1Année

@cashwithhead I think so too. Logistics 4.0 will be interesting with autonomous trucks, warehouse robots like those from Boston Dynamics, parcel drones, etc. Of course logistics costs money, but today's innovations are also changing a lot😃

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GeldmitKopf@cashwithhead

1Année

@Alumdria Autonomous trucks will still take years, but I think the warehouse can go very quickly. You might also take a look at Amazon as a logistics provider

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