1Lun·

January 2025 Portfolio update

This month was quite special with a lot of opportunities. The biggest surprise was the phenomenal Q4 report of $ASML (-3,25 %) . I was lucky to buy some more shares a few days before the announcement that's why the price I ended up paying is that good. I raise my personal buy target of $ASML (-3,25 %) from €620-€650 to €680-€700.


$LMT (+0,86 %) mixed earnings were expected by me but the price drop is quite good, that's why I decided to add more shares.


$PEP (+1,51 %) have still very attractive price so I plan to continue to buy more and more. Currently, it's the 3rd biggest position in my portfolio and for now, I plan to keep it like this.


Transactions:

$PEP (+1,51 %) - Bought x1.3 at $150.30

$LMT (+0,86 %) - Bought x0.4 at $459.90

$ASML (-3,25 %) - Bought x0.7 at €629.60

$TTE (-1,03 %) - Bought x3 at €55.00

$PEP (+1,51 %) - Bought x0.7 at $144.99


Dividends:

$MAIN (-0,27 %) x10 Dividends at $0.25

$MO (+1,18 %) x2 Dividends at $1.02

$VICI (+0,32 %) x4 Dividends at $0.433

$TTE (-1,03 %) x2 Dividends at €0.79

$PEP (+1,51 %) x2 Dividends at $1.355


Unrealized gain/loss: +4.13%

Realized gain/loss: NA

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2 Comentarios

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At these prices, ASML is still a good buying opportunity for long-term investors in my view
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$ASML With €30 billion in revenue and a 25% margin, ASML would generate €7.5 billion in profit, putting the P/E ratio at nearly 40. For 2025, revenue is expected to be between €30 billion and €35 billion (press release of 29th Jan 2025), implying also zero growth in the worst case. Last year, revenue expectations were for €40-60 billion in 2025, but management has significantly lowered these forecasts. Let's be very optimistic and assume €40 billion in revenue, which is far higher than management's best-case scenario of €35 billion for 2025. Even then, we'd still be looking at €9 billion in profit and a P/E ratio of 33. ASML is an excellent company, but it's valued very aggressively. It might become interesting at €500 per share as long as fundamentals remain the same.
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