2Semana·

Moderna Q1'25 Earnings Highlights

$MRNA (-1,81 %)


🔹 Revenue: $108M (est. $110.3M) 🔴; -35% YoY

🔹 Adj. EPS: -$2.52 (est. -$3.18) 🟢; vs. -$3.07 YoY


FY25 Guidance

🔹 Revenue: $1.5B–$2.5B (est. $2.13B) 🟡

🔹 R&D Expenses: ~$4.1B (est. $4.09B) 🟡

🔹 SG&A Expenses: ~$1.1B

🔹 Cost of Sales: ~$1.2B

🔹 CapEx: ~$0.4B

🔹 YE Cash & Investments: ~$6B

🔹 Tax: Minimal


Long-Term Cost Outlook

GAAP OpEx:

🔹 FY26: $5.4B–$5.7B (prior: $5.9B)

🔹 FY27: $4.7B–$5.0B

🔸 Expected OpEx savings of $1.4B–$1.7B by FY27


Other Q1 Metrics:

🔹 Net Loss: -$971M

🔹 R&D Expenses: $856M; -19% YoY

🔹 SG&A Expenses: $212M; -23% YoY

🔹 Operating Loss: -$1.05B

🔹 Cash & Investments: $8.4B (vs. $9.5B at FY24-end)

🔹 Spikevax Sales: $84M (US: $29M | Intl: $55M)

🔹 mRESVIA Sales (RSV): $2M


Strategic Highlights

🔸 Advancing up to 10 products toward approval; oncology focus intensifies

🔸 FDA PDUFA Dates:

  • mRNA-1283 (Next-gen COVID): May 31, 2025

  • mRNA-1345 (RSV, high-risk adults): June 12, 2025

🔸 Phase 3 Readouts Expected:

  • CMV, Norovirus, and Seasonal Flu

🔸 RSV vaccine now approved in Australia, UK, Switzerland, Taiwan

🔸 COVID demand expected to skew heavily to H2

🔸 Flu/COVID combo (mRNA-1083) for 18–49 deprioritized


Oncology & Rare Disease Pipeline Progress

🔸 mRNA-4157 (intismeran autogene) in Phase 3 (Melanoma, NSCLC, RCC, Bladder)

🔸 mRNA-4359 (Checkpoint AIM-T) added to pipeline; Phase 2 enrolling

🔸 PA (mRNA-3927): Phase 1/2 registrational; early MDE reduction seen

🔸 MMA (mRNA-3705): START program participant; pivotal trial starts 2025


CEO Stéphane Bancel Commentary

🔸 “We are executing with financial discipline and sharpening focus on oncology. We reiterate our 2025 framework and expect to reduce our cost base by up to $1.7B by 2027. With multiple Phase 3 readouts ahead, we are confident in Moderna’s long-term outlook.”

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