2D·

Trade idea smallcap

Share trade for medium-term investors:

$JAKK (+1,52 %) A toy manufacturer.

Since 2022, it has always gone down in spring/summer and up at Christmas.


See the weekly chart.

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For me, I only have capital available again in August, but I will definitely build up a position here.


I already mentioned this share last year, but at that time the capital was invested in $DRO (-9,05 %)

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19 Comentarios

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Very interesting. Fundamentals actually look very solid, the only problem is Trump's tariff plans, as production takes place in China. But it could also be an opportunity if all the cheap junk from China is no longer competitive. Definitely on the WL!
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@Shrimpman https://open.spotify.com/episode/435BMCDGh8lIMvJtYCZjzd?si=bPWPyBSjS36mQT8Nb6XfWQ
I discovered this today and it agrees with my analysis.
Deep value
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@Shrimpman and discovered here on Amazon 😅 https://amzn.eu/d/8btqdZD in the details it says that it is licensed by Jakks Pacific.
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@Dividenden_Monteur The podcast also looks very interesting. The idea of using all that cash to expand away from the US market sounds good, what do you think of the idea of buying $NLM or $SENEA as a hedge against a recession? Because Jakks is relatively recession-prone
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@Shrimpman I find food shares interesting at the moment, yes.
I'm looking a bit at $KHC as they have been extremely punished, but I find the spin-off plans interesting.

I would also do $NLM, they already have a good margin, which could be enough for profits above the average of 7-9% p.a.

Or a big ship like $GIS, which was also punished and is slowly getting back on track.
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@Shrimpman the podcast is pretty good, only 80% of the stocks are not tradable at Neobroker😅
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@Dividenden_Monteur Fortunately, I'm with Consors, but unfortunately I also have high fees
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@Dividenden_Monteur $HAGA is also very interesting, basically a monopoly with 48% of the Icelandic supermarket market
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What kind of app is that?)
Kind regards
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@MrSchnitzel TradingView
Best regards back 🙆‍♂️
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@Dividenden_Monteur Thank you very much 🙏
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@Dividenden_Monteur Must bug you again briefly.😁
What do you use for indicators etc.:)
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@Dividenden_Monteur Great, thank you very much and the lines in the chart?
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Stockopedia shows it as a Super Stock and Simply Wall St shows a green snowflake - no future but healthy company and healthy dividend. That’s good sign for me to start doing some DD thanks!
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However, with the share price falling by almost 90% since the IPO in 2007, this seems to be more than a seasonal fluctuation. And the way I see it, the recoveries and the next low are always lower. So it may go well, but it will certainly be enough to enter in August or later.
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That's already a microcap. Fundamentally, the company looks good in my bumbling eyes. So it could be interesting in the long term. No debt, solid P/E ratio. Coming out of a long valley of tears, profits have improved, the share price has not yet. What I would see as negative:
They seem to be making profits, but are only distributing them at 12%. Since the company is debt-free, you would think that the earnings would go into growth. However, this is not reflected in the turnover. I asked the AI. Without having verified it, the company not only seems to be debt-free, but also doesn't know where to put the money. This makes the actually good price/book value ratio rather poor. If they can find ways to scale sensibly, that would be good. Otherwise you might as well put your money into bonds at some point 😁

What do you think? I don't normally look at company numbers, I'm more on the ETF level because my single stock selection at the beginning of my investing career was unfortunate enough to subscribe to the efficient market theory that I would need above average luck to succeed as an investor in single stocks.
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@SchlaubiSchlumpf Yes, they are sitting on a lot of cash, so for me it would be a deep value title.
In addition, a few acquisitions were made last year and they were able to secure the rights to a few films, such as Sonic.
At the moment, customs fears are also being priced in here, as toys are produced in Asia.

I'm going to go in here based on the technical analysis, as the strong quarters and price swings were always over Christmas.
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