2Semana·

Historically: setbacks like COVID-19 and the 2008 financial crisis

The S&P 500 $CSPX (+2,2 %) has now lost more than 4.5% on two consecutive days, the Nasdaq 100 $CSNDX (+2,91 %) even more.

The last time this happened was in March 2020 and during the COVID-19 crisis
Even worse: only the 5th time since 1987 and the 11th time in the last almost 100 years

So we are living through historic times.

You know what that means: it's time to BUY - now, in the coming days, weeks and months, even if the S&P 500 loses even more from its last all-time high.

Are you buying too?

34 Comentarios

Mixxed U.@Mixxed

2Semana

Am broke can't buy more

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Memo0606@Memo0606

2Semana

yes I do
$MSCI
$CRH
$PRY
$PEP
$EQIX

buy

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The W.@thewolfofallstreetz

2Semana

@Memo0606 Top! I've never heard of two of them.

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Memo0606@Memo0606

2Semana

@thewolfofallstreetz which ones have you never heard of ? :)
and what do you think about the others at the moment?

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The W.@thewolfofallstreetz

2Semana

@Memo0606 I didn't know $CRH and $PRY before, I would have to take a look. I prefer to invest in quality + growth, so $PEP is out. I don't know anything about REITs, so I won't bother with them either. I'm also not looking for regular dividends, prefer capital gains. I like $MSCI, otherwise I'll focus on my list that I've already shared.

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Patschke6686@Patschke6686

2Semana

@thewolfofallstreetz Which of your list are in the top 3 for you to buy? 😉

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The W.@thewolfofallstreetz

2Semana

@Patschke6686 I have built a database in which I currently track 60 companies, including share performance, drawdowns, etc. In addition, I use my own assumptions to create a DCF model for each company, which gives me an initial feeling for the fair value, i.e. whether the company is currently overvalued or undervalued. Then I superimpose different valuation multiples (e.g. P/S, P/E, P/FCF, etc.) and see how these compare to the DCF model. As a bonus, I track possible insider buys. This then gives me an overall picture. If price didn't play a role and I could only pick 5 companies, my long-term portfolio would probably look like this: Amazon, Tesla, Palantir, Fair Isaac and Axon. None of the 5 is currently a super bargain, so I'm also looking left and right. BigTech has become more interesting again, e.g. Meta and Alphabet and slowly also Microsoft. Airbnb, MSCI, S&P Global, Moody's, ASML and a few others are becoming increasingly attractive. I find Hims & Hers and The Trade Desk much riskier, but also increasingly interesting. To give you a feeling: 25 of the 60 companies I track are currently shown as worth buying. In terms of ETFs, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq 100 will of course also become more and more interesting if things continue to go down. However, I always look at my top five first and would prefer to buy there if the valuation is reasonably good. Even if it is higher than the others.

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Patschke6686@Patschke6686

2Semana

@thewolfofallstreetz Thank you for your assessment. Sounds very exciting 🙂😉

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Memo0606@Memo0606

2Semana

@thewolfofallstreetz sounds meha well thought out!
which ones are the most worth buying according to your system?
$MSCI I want to buy on monday

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The W.@thewolfofallstreetz

2Semana

@Memo0606 25 of the 60 companies I track are shown as undervalued - some more, some less. Undervalued does not automatically mean that they are a good investment. As mentioned above, there are several aspects that go into the overall valuation. It also depends on the strategy you follow. I see $MSCI as undervalued on my list, but that doesn't mean they can't fall further. This is not a company that is going to double or triple in value. But if you find a good entry point, you should be able to make a good return. Conclusion for me: you can already buy them now, but they will become extremely attractive below €400 at the latest - provided, of course, that the fundamentals and growth remain solid.

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Memo0606@Memo0606

2Semana

@thewolfofallstreetz yes, the question is whether it will fall to 400
that would be another 15% and that would be brutal :)

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The W.@thewolfofallstreetz

2Semana

@Memo0606 A good entry gives you a greater margin of safety and delivers a correspondingly higher return up front. I wouldn't rule out €400 because the market is so uncertain due to the customs issue. But as I said, I think it's worth buying now and extremely attractive at €400 at the latest. You will never hit the bottom perfectly. If the fundamentals remain positive and you hold the company long enough, you should enjoy the position.

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Ver todas las 3 respuestas adicionales

Epi@Epi

2Semana

Given the table, your name should be read as:
The Wolf o' Fallstreetz
😅

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The W.@thewolfofallstreetz

2Semana

@Epi Good catch

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Caynify@Caynify

2Semana

Find $SHOP extremely exciting

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The W.@thewolfofallstreetz

2Semana

@Caynify Top company! Definitely getting more and more interesting.

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Horrax D@Horrax

2Semana

In addition, the US dollar has depreciated by a few percent against the euro during this time, which makes the whole thing look even gloomier, especially in our portfolios.

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The W.@thewolfofallstreetz

2Semana

@Horrax Yes, there is more to come. But to be honest, I'd rather be invested in the dollar than the euro.

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GeldGenie@GeldGenie

2Semana

https://getqu.in/qtNAzS/ https://getqu.in/qtNAzS/

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The W.@thewolfofallstreetz

2Semana

@GeldGenie Thanks, I hadn't seen it

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B. T.@Aktienhauptmeister

2Semana

My watchlist got longer and longer haha because too much at once, but
$INTU
$SPGI
$ISRG
$CRWD
are some candidates for me to buy 😁

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The W.@thewolfofallstreetz

2Semana

@Aktienhauptmeister Top-Unternehmen!

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Dominik H.@opportunity_scout_162

2Semana

I would love to buy - I just don't have the funds 🥲

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The W.@thewolfofallstreetz

2Semana

@opportunity_scout_162 No cash ratio held recently?

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Jack@JackB

2Semana

If I look at it that way, it went down even further after that until twice. However, shortly before that it had already fallen twice by at least 4.5%.
And the outlier is 1987.

If you have balls, you could still go short

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The W.@thewolfofallstreetz

2Semana

@JackB You can do it, but I always ask myself how much you really earn in the end and whether it's worth the stress? The upside is much higher. It's not about timing the bottom, it's about having the balls to start buying and the time to do that is now. The reaction to the whole tariff issue is completely exaggerated in my opinion. In the end there will be 10% tariffs for everyone who wants to export to the US. The Liberation Day slate is a pipe dream and only serves as a bargaining tool. None of these % rates will ever be implemented, or if they are, they will be off the table again in a few weeks/months.

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Memo0606@Memo0606

2Semana

@thewolfofallstreetz I think it will still go down 5-10%

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The W.@thewolfofallstreetz

2Semana

@Memo0606 It may well be, but in the end nobody knows. That's why I'm buying now and will continue to do so in the coming days, weeks and months if things continue to go down.

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Memo0606@Memo0606

2Semana

@thewolfofallstreetz i think i'll see what the amis do on monday
but i'm already sending some cash into the depot so that it's there on monday

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Michele@wolfm84

2Semana

Just bought , i need to step up more % etf stocks in my portfolio investments

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Smartieeee@Smartieeee

2Semana

I'm waiting and sitting on my cash. The savings plan starts in the middle of next week.

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