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Rocket Lab Interesting? Yes!

$RKLB (+1,06 %)
Rocket Lab (RKLB) - Compact summary:



Finances & business situation

  • Revenue (2024): Approx. $436m
  • Net loss: ca. $190m
  • Cash reserves: approx. 428 million $
  • Cash burn: approx. 40-50 million $ per quarter
  • The majority of the expenditure flows into Neutron development & Space Systems.


Launch Systems

Electron (existing system):

  • 66 successful orbital launches, 94% success rate
  • ~8 million $ revenue per launch, ~7 million $ costs
  • Small margin, but reliable for operations & personnel

Neutron (future rocket):

  • Target: ~$60m revenue per launch, ~$30-40m costs
  • 20m $ margin per flight possible
  • Key for scaling & profitable government/commercial contracts


HASTE - Suborbital for hypersonic tests

  • Modified Electron for military testing
  • Relevant revenue stream through DoD projects
  • Utilizes existing infrastructure for fast, reliable suborbital flights


Space Systems & GEOST

GEOST (acquisition 2024):

  • Builds secret optical sensors for US defense
  • 80-90 million $ annual turnover, high margins
  • Strong cash flows & secured customer orders



Space Systems segment:

  • Builds satellite components & deep space devices
  • Currently generates more revenue than the launch business


Pipeline & order security

  • 1 billion in confirmed contracts (NASA, DoD, commercial satellite operators)
  • Strong growth potential in defense and satellite communications (e.g. with Mynaric)


Risks & outlook

  • Delay with Neutron = Impending loss of market share
  • Cash requirements Could lead to further share dilution
  • Competition from from SpaceX, Firefly, Relativity, etc.


Forecast for profitability: Realistic from 2027depending on Neutron launch, GEOST growth and successful order implementation.

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