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Jumia on the verge of a comeback - Why the next price explosion is only a matter of time

In recent months, Jumia $JMIA (+0,25 %) Technologies (JMIA) has made an impressive recovery from its lows - and this is no coincidence. The African e-commerce company has undergone a fundamental transformation that not only justifies the current rally, but also opens up the potential for a massive re-rating over the next two years.


1. focus on profitability instead of growth mania


After Jumia $JMIA (+0,25 %) had been struggling with losses for years, the business model was fundamentally revised. The new strategy: reduce costs, expand high-margin segments and close unprofitable business areas. For several quarters in a row, Jumia was able to $JMIA (+0,25 %) was able to significantly reduce its operating losses - a trend that gives investors hope for profitability in the near future.


2 Africa as the growth market of the future


While the major e-commerce markets in the USA, Europe and China are already heavily penetrated, Africa is at the beginning of its digital transformation. The smartphone is the key to the digital economy there. Jumia is excellently positioned to benefit as a first mover from the huge growth potential in Africa - with over 1.4 billion people, a market that has barely been tapped into.


3. improved logistics and partnerships


Jumia $JMIA (+0,25 %) is making targeted investments in its logistics infrastructure and at the same time entering into strategic partnerships with local companies. This allows the delivery service to be extended to remote regions, which increases customer satisfaction and loyalty - a decisive competitive advantage.


4. market psychology & short squeeze potential


The share was heavily short-sold for a long time. However, with the operational recovery and positive newsflow, a rethink is beginning. A short squeeze is possible if further positive quarterly figures are released. Institutional investors are returning, while retail traders are rediscovering the story.


5. valuation remains attractive


Despite the price rally, Jumia $JMIA (+0,25 %) remains significantly undervalued in terms of the addressable market, future cash flow potential and the platform multiple. With continued operational improvement, the share price could multiply in the next two years - and at a fraction of the valuation of comparable international platforms.

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12 Comentarios

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Hello my dear,
Thank you for your introduction.
Perhaps it would be an added value to include the multiples in the presentation.
This would show that the losses will remain for the next few years and will not be greatly reduced. Which doesn't necessarily have to be negative at the beginning.
But looking at the sales, I can't see a big increase either, which is why it wouldn't be an investment for me.
Coupang and Mercado are more interesting for me here.
This is just my personal opinion, which is why the share can still rise on positive news.
But I like to invest on the basis of positive multiples.
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@Tenbagger2024 also makes sense :-) the return is ultimately the risk you are prepared to take. I was in the red for ages with Jumia and am now 60% in the profit zone because I kept buying more.
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@WinStreak77
I think the share really needs a lot of patience
Blablabla
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@Frei Thank you for your valuable opinion, that's probably all I'll get.
@WinStreak77 My comment is at least as qualitative as your contribution.
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@Frei well, tell us about your share purchases that took you from €1.50 to €4

You are also welcome to share your portfolio
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I would be delighted if it works for you. It's nothing for most people here. That's why I wouldn't post any more about it if I were you.
Best regards 👋
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@Aminmeskini However, this opinion is dubious 😁
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@WinStreak77 whatever you say and thanks for sharing
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Sorry, but they won't even be taken over by someone to play the market in Africa, that was definitely the biggest failure of the samwer brothers. Sacks of rice and bottles of alcohol sold at a loss doesn't necessarily look like a good business. I would listen to Pip Klöckner's opinion on that.
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Nice gain today, the 4€ easily cracked, it goes on :-)
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