Strategy has stocked up again

Stefan21 · 2025-03-31T13:35:25.592709Z

$MSTR has in the past week 22,048 $BTC for 1.92 billion dollars - financed through the issue of preference and ordinary shares🚀 The company now owns over 528,000 Bitcoin.

GG H.@GGHyperX

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It's starting to scare me that so many BTCs are linked to one company 😅

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Richard@-Richard-

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@GGHyperX Me too, somehow. There are risks involved.

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Ph1l1pp@Ph1l1pp

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@GGHyperX It should scare you that Saylor was responsible for much of the rise to 87-88k, the orderbooks are empty and there is no buying demand

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Stefan21@stefan_21

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@Ph1l1pp @GGHyperX Fear is generally always a bad advisor :) Don't panic on the Titanic, just be happy about the favorable sats we can currently enjoy despite a Bitcoin reserve of the world's largest economic power🤗

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Ph1l1pp@Ph1l1pp

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@stefan_21 I have nothing against it in the long term, but I am a trader 🙃

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~ S.@Semos25

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What a load of crap. Doesn't he have enough already. 🥲

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~ S.@Semos25

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What do you think of the whole @stefan_21

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Stefan21@stefan_21

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@Semos25 I think that Strategy will either become the most successful and expensive company in the world or the strategy will implode at some point and throw Bitcoin into a clean bear market (or both).
At the moment, however, I don't see any acute danger. The bonds all run for a very long time. If the Bitcoin price is lower in 4 years than it is today, they will probably have a problem. However, I think the probability of this is low.
If you assume that Bitcoin is volatile but will rise forever in fiat terms (which I am personally convinced of), Saylor's strategy can theoretically work indefinitely. To be honest, I don't think it will work indefinitely.
But I'm very relaxed about the next few years - as long as they don't do anything stupid like lending out their Bitcoin to earn interest :)

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~ S.@Semos25

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@stefan_21 thanks for the feedback, would you currently invest in $MSTR if you weren't already invested?

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Stefan21@stefan_21

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@Semos25 Yes, I'm currently considering buying a little more - but I'll wait and see. In my opinion, the risk/reward ratio of MSTR is outstanding. However, I won't simply hold the share long term like Bitcoin, but will buy and sell from time to time. If I notice that Bitcoin is overvalued again, I will sell MSTR first :)
In a bear market, MSTR would of course suffer disproportionately - so it's important to sell first.

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~ S.@Semos25

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@stefan_21 I think that's what many people want to do. Sell the $MSTR position before the bear market starts. The only question is when would be the perfect time to do so ☺️

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Stefan21@stefan_21

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@Semos25 my medium-term price target for Bitcoin is 150 - 180k :) I would definitely sell MSTR in this range for now

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Richard@-Richard-

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@stefan_21 Where do you think the MSTR share will be when Bitcoin is at 150k?

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Stefan21@stefan_21

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@-Richard- depends on how many more Bitcoin will be accumulated by then, how many shares will be issued and how high the mNAV will be then.
If I roughly estimate that the mNAV will be back at 3 by then - i.e. Mstr will be valued at three times its Bitcoin holdings as in the last hype phase and they will have filled up the 600,000 Bitcoin by then, I arrive at a price of around 1100 to 1200 dollars with around 230 million outstanding shares. I would consider that to be quite realistic :)
With a 2 mNav it would be around 700-800 dollars and with a 4 mNav 1500-1600 dollars. So probably something in the range with corresponding inaccuracy :)

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~ S.@Semos25

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@stefan_21 Interesting idea you have. Now I have to ask you "when will we see this course?" $BTC is unfortunately not making any headway at the moment. The tariffs that Trump will pull out of his hat will make things even more difficult

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Stefan21@stefan_21

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@Semos25 The 150-180k was my target for 2025 :D That hasn't changed yet. I am currently assuming a longer sideways phase and think that we will see a run again towards the fall. That would fit both cyclically and seasonally.
But since the Bitcoin price usually does the opposite of what I think, don't take it too seriously :)

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~ S.@Semos25

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@stefan_21 I was going to say you were very generous about the $BTC price for the year 25. I'll be honest with you, we probably won't see the figure you quoted for a few years, unless Trump announces in the next few weeks that he has bought 100 million for the $BTC reserve. (Irony off 🤣)

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Ver todas las 2 respuestas adicionales

Ph1l1pp@Ph1l1pp

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we are doomed for lower prices!

Q3 2025: $5000 spx and $72000-69000 BTC

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Strategy has stocked up again!