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MicroStrategy: Why the share disappoints me after half a year📉

I have been holding MicroStrategy shares ($MSTR (-8,94 %) ) for half a year now. Originally, my motivation was clear: I was looking for a leveraged play on $BTC (-1,19 %) without investing directly in derivatives or high-risk altcoins. $MSTR (-8,94 %) seemed like the perfect vehicle - an established company with an aggressive Bitcoin strategy, led by Michael Saylor, who has publicly emerged as one of the loudest BTC bulls. But what began promisingly is increasingly turning out to be a disappointing journey.


1.

Extreme volatility - without real added value


Of course, a certain amount of volatility is to be expected with a Bitcoin-related share - I was aware of that. But what increasingly bothers me is that these fluctuations often seem completely disconnected from Bitcoin's performance itself. While $BTC (-1,19 %) reaches new highs, it sometimes $MSTR (-8,94 %) sometimes stands still or even loses. If the leverage effect should be higher in theory, why this sluggish reaction?


2.

Dilution through capital increases


A massive damper is the repeated dilution through new share issues. In order to finance further Bitcoin purchases, MicroStrategy regularly issues new shares or bonds. What is lost in the process: shareholder value. The original leverage on Bitcoin is being diluted step by step - not only financially, but also psychologically for investors.


3.

Non-transparent communication around Bitcoin purchases


Michael Saylor may be a visionary - but as an investor I often feel like I'm being presented with a fait accompli. Bitcoin purchases no longer seem like strategically placed investments, but like one-sided bets on ever new all-time highs, regardless of the timing or market environment. As well-intentioned as the narrative is, there is a lack of clear, shareholder-friendly communication.


4.

What remains of the leverage effect?


The crucial point: the hoped-for leverage effect that made the MSTR share attractive to me no longer seems to exist. Despite a new all-time high for Bitcoin today - the share remains frozen. The Bitcoin share ratio continues to rise, but $MSTR (-8,94 %) does not follow accordingly. If BTC rises 3-4% and the share price does not react at all or even reacts negatively, then it becomes clear that the narrative no longer holds.

The only leverage effect I can feel is the downward one.


Today I decided to set a stop loss at €350.

If this is executed, I will forget about the share for a while and possibly get back in at more favorable prices.

prices again.


What do you think of the share and what was your experience?


Lg

Don 💸

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42 Comentarios

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What surprises me is that despite the fact that bitcoin is rising so well, the strategy is not getting off the ground - that was different 6 months ago. It even cracked the 500 euro mark. Well, yes.
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@Semos25 That's the point that annoys me the most. Everyone screams prices when this and that happens, but in the end it's just hot air. Where is the leverage effect, where is the volatility?
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@der_Don Metaplanet goes down better 🫣
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@Semos25 at some point the valuation is just too high?
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@Semos25 was about to say. That's even more depressing. And what's EVEN more depressing is that I discovered Metaplanet at €2 a share but didn't put a cent in.
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@WarrenamBuffet Yes, that may well be possible. I'm just wondering whether I should sell 🤔
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@Semos25 You can wait a little longer. Bitcoin is currently performing well. If nothing happens with Strategy in a few weeks, you can sell if you are dissatisfied with the development.
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@WarrenamBuffet I'm also still waiting. As I said SL at 350€ and should we see the 400€ again I will sell. Emphasis on should...
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@der_Don yes, of course that hurts, but how were you supposed to know that it would go down like that? I read the share for the first time at @Tenbagger2024. What can I say, the next one is sure to come 😇
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@Semos25
The two of us will discover a new one 🚀
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@Tenbagger2024 I still have time until September 😂
Ver todas las 11 respuestas adicionales
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88.92% returns (40% realized from last year) and with room to run. I think I'm going to let it cook a little longer.

$MSTR has been on the rise now since April 6th and going sideways for 2 weeks. I don't know what you're going on about, as it has been following the $BTC price pretty much exactly. Don't be surprised that as Bitcoin has hit an ATH, profit taking pushes the price sideways a little further before another push up.

I'm confident that Bitcoin still has a little pump in her, and that Strategy will follow.

Have patience.
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Not invested in $MSTR , but all the points mentioned above is the whole strategy of this company. For example, Diluting shares to increase BTC yield per share is exactly what they sell. Buying whenever possible is their whole game plan.

Ofcourse you cannot agree with the company and then you should definitely sell. But I dont understand your frustrations since that is exactly what is advertised (to me).
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And it is understandable the share price doesn't correlate to $BTC , since a fair chunck of their investors are now coming from ETFs I think
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I would like to thank you and all the others who willingly provide liquidity to the markets and even after realizing that an investment is green, do not sell immediately, but set an even lower SL so that the loss is even higher. Our profits have to come from somewhere. Thanks again!
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Same feelings. My expectation would also be a strong price at a new bitcoin all-time high!
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The allocation strategy is not leverage. The financial magic is that the stock goes up even if BTC goes down. BTW $3350 is the new strategy :D
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That's why I'm thinking about going back to $3350 👀🚀
Bro, Bitcoin is tax-free after one year. Why are you buying $MSTR?
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@user5ca946a11b6a4278 I don't know who told you this Bro, but if you sell any Crypto you are liable to capital gains... at least in my country.
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@flush_hatch in Germany Cryptos are Tax Free After holding them 1 year
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I continue to hold. YTD 25%, not far from the ATH.
BUT, you are definitely right with your statements, it is bobbing along...
I was wondering whether this might have something to do with the fact that the entry price has risen enormously due to the many purchases (which it certainly has), which is why the leverage is no longer working so well.
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Hands off the Ponzi
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So something strange, Bitcoin +3% and mstr -0.8% ??? I think they're out for me now
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@wealth_navigator_64 I don't know. I think I'll hold on to the share. I don't want to sell it yet. I think there's still a bit of room for improvement.
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@der_Don I was also very convinced but if she continues like this now I'm out
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Share is a complete joke :)
be also aware that the continuos share diluition create a big leverage on the company... and if the btc price drop... the fault risks are very high
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bro buys a memecoin and after 6 months complains that the bottomless ATH has not yet been broken.
Because patience is a virtue.
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