LoginSignup
Imagen de perfil
Epi
@Epi
1Año·

The day before yesterday $SIVB yesterday $CSGN tomorrow $DBK (-0,41 %) ?


Credit default swaps (CDS) on Deutsche Bank are rising dramatically right now! Share price falls like a stone and pulls the DAX down.


Those who experienced 2008 know what this means. And anyone who knows Deutsche Bank's balance sheet a little has an idea of what a collapse would mean for Germany and the global economy.


And then there's this: "There is no cause for concern about the German banking sector, a spokesperson for the German government said on Friday." (Reuters)


Just a hint of what to keep on your radar for the next few days.


Addendum: The CDS on $DBK (-0,41 %) now indicate an insolvency risk of 25% within the next 5 years. By the way, derivatives worth around €50,000 billion are on the books.

attachment
attachment
11
22 Comentarios
Imagen de perfil
Sparfuchs@Reinecke
1Año
Please more drama 🆘 That's not really a graph of the course of the day that jumps around there funny ? Especially the first ... how do you come to such numbers ? I bought DBK on 3/21/2013 for 8.60 and they were not above 10 until today so at most you can have a price trend in dollars. As already said "more drama, pls".
•
6
•
Imagen de perfil
Epi@Epi
1Año
@KleinviehmachtMist The stock chart is a daily chart in USD (because of daily reference and more info than GC chart). The CDS chart is a yearly chart. Everything is in the charts. It should have become clear that it is only about information about a potentially dramatic event. To call SOS immediately, if someone warns about something, looks a little bit like ostrich principle.
••
Imagen de perfil
Lorenzo V.@vMatt263
1Año
@Epi Sometimes the ostrich principle is not a wrong tool. The bank run was also brought about "emotionally". CSGN has already been beaten up excessively hard by the market. The rest is in the media, Saudi commentary, etc.
••
Imagen de perfil
Epi@Epi
1Año
@Josi263 Maybe. I prefer to go through the world with my eyes open and prepare myself.
••
Imagen de perfil
Sparfuchs@Reinecke
1Año
@Epi I also did this - I took the profits at $DBK and invested in $PBB today. With my equity, I now have a dividend yield of almost 12%. I would be more worried about $CBK.
•
1
•
Imagen de perfil
Xantia@Xantia
1Año
The future belongs to the brave. CS was already poorly managed before; I bought properly into banks!
•
2
•
Imagen de perfil
Staatsmann@Staatsmann
1Año
It's just normal that insurance prices rise 😂 After an earthquake, elementary insurance against earthquakes is also more expensive. However, lessons have been learned from 2008. Deutsche Bank is one of the banks that cannot go bankrupt. 🤷🏼‍♂️
••
Imagen de perfil
Epi@Epi
1Año
@Staatsmann Then compare the CDS for $DBK with those for other European banks. There are remarkable differences. https://www.derivateverband.de/DEU/Transparenz/Credit-Default-Swaps
••
Usuario eliminado
1Año
Comentario eliminado
Imagen de perfil
Epi@Epi
1Año
@BearStearnsCFO Why? $CS didn't stop at €1.7 either.
•
1
•
Usuario eliminado
1Año
Comentario eliminado
Imagen de perfil
Epi@Epi
1Año
@BearStearnsCFO Saved 100% by the state... It's clear what this means for shareholders and stock markets.
•
1
•
Usuario eliminado
1Año
Comentario eliminado
Imagen de perfil
Epi@Epi
1Año
@BearStearnsCFO We will see. DB's derivatives volume is €50,000 billion. If only a fraction of this volume blows up, the state will not be able to save much.
•
1
•
Usuario eliminado
1Año
Comentario eliminado
Imagen de perfil
Epi@Epi
1Año
@BearStearnsCFO A profit of 5 billion is of little use if a year later there is a loss of 10 billion. I am not saying that this will happen, but the stock market does not trade in the past.
•
2
•
Usuario eliminado
1Año
Comentario eliminado
Imagen de perfil
Epi@Epi
1Año
@World-ETF-Getquin Are you going to elaborate or leave it at a blunt insult?
•
2
•
Usuario eliminado
1Año
Comentario eliminado
Imagen de perfil
Epi@Epi
1Año
@World-ETF-Getquin DKB? That was probably nothing. Please try again!
••
Usuario eliminado
1Año
Comentario eliminado
Imagen de perfil
Epi@Epi
1Año
@World-ETF-Getquin Yes, make a stupid comment, change it and laugh at the reaction to it. The main thing is to have fun! You're welcome.
••
Ver una respuesta más
Únase a la conversación
InscríbaseInicio de sesión